Employers in June planned to cut the fewest number of workers in more than a year as they try to wait out the upcoming election, according to a report Thursday from Challenger, Gray & Christmas Inc.
The outplacement consultancy found that planned layoffs announced last month slipped to 37,551, 39% less than May’s 61,887 notices and 9.4% less than the cuts planned last June. The gauge was at its lowest point since May 2011.
“Barring some major economic catastrophe, companies in the U.S. are likely to hold steady for the remainder of the year,” said John A. Challenger, chief executive of the consultancy, in a statement. “We probably will not see a major ramp up in hiring or firing; certainly, not before the November elections.”
Analysts are now hoping that the numbers forecast an improvement in the government’s official unemployment report, which will be released Friday.
But overall, the job market continues to struggle. So far this year, employers have announced 283,091 layoffs – 15% more than over the same period in 2011, according to the Challenger report.
Job cuts in manufacturing – including among makers of industrial goods and aerospace and consumer products – declined even though factory activity retreated for the first time in three years.
But in the education sector, layoffs nearly doubled in June from May. Computer industry bosses are also heavily slashing, as are transportation companies such as American Airlines, United Airlines and Delta Air Lines.
The weak recovery could delay further hiring, according to Challenger. Recent signs show the economy “headed for another summer slump or worse.”
And deeper instability in Europe “would certainly ripple through our economy and could send us spiraling back toward recession,” he said. On Thursday, both the European Central Bank and China cut key interest rates in an attempt to stimulate borrowing.