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Time Warner Cable cuts forecast

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Time Warner Cable Inc., the cable company awaiting approval to merge with Comcast Corp., reported profit that trailed analysts’ estimates and cut its sales forecast as it continues to lose video subscribers.

Third-quarter earnings, excluding some items, fell to $1.86 a share, compared with analysts’ average estimate of $1.90. Time Warner Cable lost 184,000 video customers, and rising costs for sports programming cut into profit. The company lowered its revenue forecast for the year to $22.8 billion, below every analyst estimate compiled by Bloomberg.

Time Warner Cable and Comcast are relying more on broadband users for revenue growth as new TV subscribers prove harder to come by. Netflix Inc.’s streaming service and HBO’s upcoming online subscription are going after younger viewers who prefer to watch shows over the Web rather than paying $50 a month or more for traditional cable.

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“The numbers were weak,” said Jonathan Chaplin, an analyst with New Street Research in New York. “Either management isn’t focused on operations in the run-up to the deal, or they aren’t good operators.”

The falling number of Americans paying for TV is part of the driving force behind Comcast’s proposed $45.2 billion takeover of Time Warner Cable. A year ago, Time Warner Cable reported losses of 306,000 customers for video and 24,000 for broadband. In the most recent quarter, the New York-based company added 92,000 high-speed Internet subscribers, according to a statement today.

The deal with Comcast is at risk of taking longer to complete as regulators resolve disputes over programming contracts. While the Federal Communications Commission last week stopped the clock in its review, Comcast has said it still expects the deal to be completed in early 2015.

Time Warner Cable’s net income fell to $499 million, or $1.76 a share, from $532 million, or $1.84, a year earlier. Sales rose 3.6 percent to $5.71 billion, shy of analysts’ average projection of $5.75 billion.

Programming and content expenses climbed 9.6 percent to $1.3 billion in the quarter because of costs for the SportsNet LA channel that carries Los Angeles Dodgers baseball games. In July, the company had to reduce its full-year profit forecast because it was unable to get rival TV distributors to pay the fees it was asking for the sport network.

Today, the company forecast 2014 revenue of about $22.8 billion, or about 3.1 percent growth. That’s lower than the guidance it gave in July for revenue growth of 3.5 percent to 4.5 percent this year, which would have been at least $22.9 billion. Analysts had been expecting 2014 sales of $22.95 billion, according to the average of estimates compiled by Bloomberg.

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Time Warner Cable agreed last year to pay $8.35 billion for 25 years of Dodger baseball games, becoming the charter distributor of SportsNet LA, with responsibility for advertising and sales to other distributors. In September, Time Warner Cable ended a season-long blackout and allowed the Dodgers’ final games to be carried on a local TV station available on every pay-TV service in Southern California.

EDT

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