Fanboy Oscar hopefuls

Which, if any of these, has a chance at getting Oscar's best picture nomination?

• 'Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince'
• 'Avatar'
• 'Star Trek'
• 'Terminator Salvation'
• 'New Moon'
• 'Drag Me to Hell'
• 'Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen'
• 'Up'
• 'X-Men Origins: Wolverine'
• 'Watchmen'
• Other (justify yourself in the comments below)