If you want to predict who'll be in the running for Golden Globes when nominations are announced on Thursday morn, consider what's most important to the voters.
They're members of the Hollywood Foreign Press Association who are keen on spotlighting the hottest new stars of interest to their newspaper readers back Oslo, Cairo and Buenes Aires.
Therefore, they care a lot about new breakout personalities like Jennifer Hudson of "Dreamgirls" plus sexy A-Listers who have major films out right now (Leonardo Di Caprio in "Blood Diamond" and "The Departed"). Being foreigners, they have a special fondness for movies set overseas -- like "The Queen."
Among TV shows, they like what's new and cool ("Ugly Betty"), full of stars (Sally Field and Calista Flockhart in "Brothers and Sisters") and edgy, even if low-rated ("Studio 60"). Last year it didn't matter that "Commander-in-Chief" was already in danger of cancellation at year's end. Voters still saluted Geena Davis as nominee and winner of best TV drama actress because the series was daring, well crafted and featured a glam past Oscar champ slumming it on the tube.
Actual nominees will be announced live on NBC's "Today" show at 5:35 a.m. Pacific/ 8:35 a.m. eastern on Thursday.
GOLDEN GLOBE PREDICTIONS:Copyright © 2014, Los Angeles Times