Is it possible for Republican Senate candidate
That's what the latest
Meanwhile, a Franklin & Marshall College poll released on the same day shows Casey with a 10-point lead among likely voters. The Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll showed a 12-point lead for Casey the week before.
"We've seen clearly in most polls a narrowing of the gap in that race, how narrow it is seems to vary," Chris Borick, Muhlenberg pollster said. "I think the conclusion I would get by looking at the polls in whole is that the race has become more competitive, but how competitive is uncertain."
As late as Aug. 1, Quinnipiac showed Casey with an 18-point lead over Smith. The race has been almost entirely ignored nationally. A Casey win has been considered a foregone conclusion. The disinterest has added to the narrative that Pennsylvania wasn't in play this cycle.
Smith, the farmer turned coal executive whose only political experience before running for the U.S. Senate was a short stint as a township supervisor in the 1970s and as a heavy
He has massively outspent Casey on TV, including in Philadelphia and the collar counties where Casey has spent no money at all. Meanwhile, Romney hasn't run a single ad of his own in Pennsylvania.
There is also the pervasive anti-Congress sentiment. Obama's job approval and favorable numbers are much higher than those for Congress. In the F&M poll, Obama has 50 percent favorability compared to 37 percent for Casey. And nearly a quarter of Pennsylvania voters said they didn't know enough about Casey to form an opinion.
"There is a sense that (voters are) like who is he, what is he doing, and you don’t want someone filling in the gap there,"
said. Still, he doesn't think Casey should "overly worry."
"I'm looking for something to show why Casey could lose," Madonna said. "What is it?"