I was like, “You should predict who Romneywill choose to be his VP.”
And then I was like, "Why? That's boring. And obvious."
So I was like, "Okay, great, why don't you write about eating dogs some more or fantastical NBA trade scenarios that will never happen. Those seemed really popular given the number of Tweets you got from people calling you homophobic slurs."
And I was like, "I know. Why are people so mean."
And finally, I was like, “They’re just jealous. No more tears, baby… Oh, and it’s totally
I'm right. I would bet almost anything that Mitt Romney will pick half-term senator Marco Rubio as his vice-presidential nominee. Like Romney himself, it's inevitable. Rubio simply checks too many boxes.
The greatest danger in picking a VP nominee is what will be known as the “Palin Effect”: first rule, do no harm; second rule, do not pick a narcissistic, uninformed reality TV star. However, Romney will not overlearn this lesson either. Picking a boring white guy to stand beside a boring white guy would be an error of a lesser scale. This rules out Ohio Senator
While news of Romney's pitiful standing among women has made Haley's outside chance a little better, I still think smart money is on Rubio. The best argument against him—from CBS and Slate's John Dickerson—still isn't all that convincing. Barack Obama proved that Americans don't actually care how long a candidate has been in office or any of the other nitpicky reasons prognosticators throw up as hurdles for Rubio.
Rubio is young and good-looking, he sounds intelligent, he’s Cuban, his baggage seems like it's already out there, and he has
Most importantly, however, Rubio comes from Florida, and Florida is a state Romney desperately needs to win if he wants any chance of taking the presidency. As everyone keeps pointing out, demographics have expanded the Democratic base into states like Colorado, Virginia, and North Carolina that were easy Republican wins in 2000 and 2004. Even if Romney holds all those states, he could still lose, which is why he basically has to win Florida.
Of course, it doesn't always follow that a vice-presidential pick necessarily wins you a state. You could argue that Al Gore perhaps, maybe helped Bill Clinton win Tennessee in '92 and '96, but outside of that, there's not a whole lot of evidence to suggest the geographical roots of the VP nominee have much to do with winning electoral votes in the modern era. Nevertheless, Romney has to overcome some steep math and it starts with winning Florida. If Rubio can provide him a handful of votes to get him over the top in that state's closely divided electorate, he's worth it to the Romney campaign.