Cardinals in 7
History tells us that the World Series team that wins Game 5 to take a 3-2 advantage goes on to win the title 66 percent of the time. All Texas has to do is win one of the next two games against the team that had the worst regular-season record among this year's eight playoff teams.
Except it isn't going to go down that way. Cardinals Game 6 starter Jaime Garcia is coming off a terrific seven-inning performance in Game 2. He'll drag the Cards into Game 7 and they'll have the home crowd behind them with all the candy on the line. If they can just get manager Tony La Russa and bullpen coach Derek Lilliquist a couple of Bluetooth headsets, they should complete their unlikely late-season comeback.
Deserves to go distance
Mike Napoli and his Rangers teammates had no choice, really. If they were going to win the World Series, they had to find a way to win Game 5, and they did. Now they go to St. Louis with a chance to end it Wednesday night, but they're not going to celebrate this soon.
This World Series has been one of the best in a long time, and it deserves to go to the distance, which it will. My original pick was Rangers in seven, and I'm sticking to it. I say the Cardinals will win Game 6 behind big games from Jaime Garcia and Albert Pujols, but that the Rangers will come back to grab Game 7, scoring early and often against starter Kyle Lohse and a bullpen that has been exposed as the Cardinals' fatal flaw.
With the World Series tally at Rangers 3, Cardinals 2, General Sports Fan Interest 0, if there's any compassion at all for television viewers, this prime-time nuisance will go away Wednesday with a Texas victory.
Is this an East Coast bias? Guilty. Is this discrimination against Middle America? Guilty. Is this bitterness that the Series is not a Phillies/Yankees smackdown between baseball's best teams over 162 games? Guilty.
The overmanaged Cardinals and their know-it-all skipper are lucky just to be in the playoffs. The Rangers are more deserving. Look for Nelson Cruz to play longball and the Rangers to romp in a game that will drag on almost as long as the holiday shopping season.
It'll be Rangers in 6
Los Angeles Times
I do not think the World Series will go seven games. I think Texas will close out St. Louis in Game 6.
The Rangers are the better team, they have the momentum after their dramatic Game 5 victory and their best postseason starter, Colby Lewis, on the mound.
They should also fare better offensively against Cardinals starter Jaime Garcia. Garcia allowed three hits in seven shutout innings in Game 2, but it's asking a lot of any left-hander to shut down a predominantly right-handed-hitting, powerful lineup twice in six days.