By Chris Korman
1:12 PM PDT, May 19, 2012
A few final thoughts as we approach the 6:18 post time for the 137th running of the Preakness:
It comes down to this: Either Bodemeister can run the same race he did two weeks ago, or he can’t. If he can, he likely won’t be beat. Kentucky Derby winner I’ll Have Another could go out after him, and has won as a front-runner before. But it’s hard to overstate how brilliant Bodemeister was at Churchill Downs. Of course, he only would have won the Derby if it ended a sixteenth of a mile earlier – as the Preakness does – by half a length. But that was after he was pushed by the significant early speed of Trinniberg and, to a lesser extent, Hansen.
My pick for the paper was Went the Day Well, which would give Graham Motion the second leg of the personal Triple Crown. I just think that the two horses everyone has focused on will spend too much against each other early, and Went the Day Well will close. This should be a pretty clean race compared to the 20-horse derby, and you figure there won’t be as many poor trips.
Hopefully you’ve read our coverage so far. Sandy McKee took a look at the Maryland horses who could contend today, as well as the next generation of trainers and jockeys. I wrote about I’ll Have Another trainer Doug O’Neill. Don Markus wrote about a fox who hangs out at Pimlico. Liam Durbin, our official handicapper, gave picks for every race. There’s been so much there.
It’s been six years since Barbaro broke down here. What an awful day. Should you have the time and inclination to do so, revive the memory of that colt with Buzz Bissinger’s masterful profile.
It will be interesting to see what Sagamore Farm’s Tiger Walk does out of the gate. He’s stuck on the rail, but the race’s main speed -- Bodemeister at 7, I’ll Have Another at 9 – will be fair away for the first few strides. Does Ramon Dominguez try to go the lead with Tiger Walk? There’s a huge, posh Under Armour tent here. Imagine the excitement in there if it goes that way.
Wiz Khalifa played a little bit ago. I have very little to say about that. He seemed pretty impressive and all. People were excited.
Here are the current odds, as off 3:35:
Tiger Walk 14-1
Teeth of the Dog 13-1
Went the Day Well 9-2
Creative Cause 6-1
Daddy Nose Best 10-1
I’ll Have Another 3-1
There you have it. Enjoy the two most exciting minutes in sports that occurs around a concert/binge-drinking fest/beach volleyball event/bikini contest.
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