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Malcolm Gladwell
Review: Nate Silver's insightful 'The Signal and the Noise'
Review: Nate Silver's insightful 'The Signal and the Noise'

--------------------The Signal and the NoiseWhy So Many Predictions Fail — but Some Don't Nate SilverPenguin Press: 534 pp, $27.95 --------------------Political consulting and punditry are worlds where merit is all too often a minor concern at best — coming in behind convictions, connections and just plain swagger, among a long list of other things. Sometimes it seems as if the whole thing might be working on a tenure system: How else can anyone explain why Dick Morris is still paid to make bold predictions on national television almost seven years after the release of his book about the 2008 election, "Condi vs. Hillary: The Next Great Presidential Race," or why John Kerry...

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