As his ratings rebound, Japan’s prime minister calls for an early election

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe announced Monday he will call a snap election for parliament’s more powerful lower house for next month.

Abe said at a news conference that he will dissolve the chamber on Thursday when it convenes after a three-month summer recess. The election is to be held Oct. 22.

Support ratings for Abe’s government have started to rebound after attacks on him over cronyism scandals faded during parliament’s recess. Also, opposition parties are regrouping and unprepared for an election.

Abe said he was seeking a mandate for his plans to use new tax revenues for education and care of the elderly, and for his defense policy toward North Korea’s escalating missile and nuclear threat, saying the situation is tantamount to a national crisis.

“I will tackle the national crisis with my strong leadership,” Abe said.

“I expect opposition criticism is going to focus on [the scandals], and it’s going to be a very difficult election,” Abe said. He said he will step down as prime minister if his Liberal Democratic Party fails to win a majority, or at least 233 seats, to stay in power.

Analysts believe his party will retain a majority but could lose the two-thirds majority it currently holds with its coalition partner, the Komei party. Still, a big enough victory could help Abe extend his hold on power. His three-year term as party leader ends next September, and he will have to fend off any challengers from within the Liberal Democratic Party to remain prime minister.

“For Mr. Abe, now is the time. He is taking advantage of unprepared opposition parties as he seeks to prolong his leadership,” said Yu Uchiyama, a University of Tokyo politics professor.

Support ratings for his government plunged to below 30% in July following repeated parliamentary questions about allegations that Abe helped his friend obtain approval for a veterinary college.

Recent media polls show the support ratings recovering to around 50%, helped by parliament’s recess and a Cabinet reshuffle in August that removed the defense minister and several other unpopular ministers. A Nikkei newspaper survey published Monday found that 44% of respondents said they would vote for Abe’s party in the election, followed by 8% for two opposition parties.

It’s a significant turnaround from June, when the Liberal Democratic Party suffered a devastating loss in a Tokyo city assembly election to maverick Tokyo Gov. Yuriko Koike’s new regional party.

Opposition lawmakers are scrambling to regroup.

The popular Koike announced earlier Monday that she is launching a new political party to challenge Abe’s ruling party in the election. She said she is heading the Hope Party and plans to send candidates to vie for some of the 475 seats in the lower house.

She said her party will be conservative and push for transparency in government, women’s advancement, elimination of nuclear energy and other reforms. Several parliamentarians, including defectors from the main opposition Democratic Party, have announced their intention to join her party.

“This is going to be a new force formed by members aiming to achieve reforms and conservativism,” Koike said. “We are going to create a Japan where there is hope for everyone that tomorrow will certainly be better than today.”

The Democrats, who held power from 2009 to 2012, have lost ground since then, largely due to party disagreements.

UPDATES:

6 a.m.: This article was updated with a statement from Shinzo Abe on his platform plans.

This story was originally posted at 3 a.m.