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Brazilians will vote in a highly polarized presidential race on Sunday. Here’s what to know

Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, wearing a hat, waves to supporters
Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva waves to supporters during a campaign rally in São Paulo on Sept. 26.
(Allison Sales / Associated Press)
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  • Brazil’s presidential election pits incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva against Sen. Flávio Bolsonaro, with a runoff possible Oct. 25 if neither wins a majority.
  • The rivals offer sharply different visions on crime, the Amazon and Brazil’s global ties; Bolsonaro, son of convicted former President Jair Bolsonaro, has embraced his father’s conservative agenda.

Millions of Brazilians will vote Sunday in an election dominated by two rivals: incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Sen. Flávio Bolsonaro, the son of ex-leader Jair Bolsonaro, who was convicted in a failed coup attempt after he lost to Lula four years ago.

Twelve candidates are on the presidential ballot, but only Lula and Bolsonaro are thought to have a real chance of becoming Brazil’s next head of state. If no candidate receives more than 50% of the vote, the top two advance to a runoff Oct. 25.

Lula, who at 80 is one of the world’s oldest heads of state, is running in his seventh presidential election and seeking his second two-term tenure in office. Bolsonaro, 45, is competing in his first presidential election and seeking to return his family to power after his father, an ally of President Trump, governed Brazil from 2019 through 2022.

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The two represent opposite sides of the political spectrum, with conflicting visions on issues ranging from how to tackle organized crime to the relationship Latin America’s biggest country should have with the Trump administration.

Here’s what to know about Brazil’s election.

Electronic voting machines

Brazil holds general elections every four years, and voting is mandatory. Those who fail to cast a ballot without justification face a small fine.

On Sunday, Brazilians will choose a president, state and federal representatives as well as governors and some senators. Elections for mayors and city councilors also are held every four years, but in different years.

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Almost 160 million eligible voters will use electronic voting machines to punch in the digits corresponding to their candidates, preparing number-heavy lists.

Brazilian authorities adopted electronic voting machines in the 1990s to combat fraud. In earlier local elections, ballot boxes were stuffed or stolen, and paper ballots routinely were falsified, according to Brazil’s electoral authority. The country held no direct presidential elections between 1960 and 1989, a period that included military rule from 1964 to 1985.

Now, results are reported hours after polls close.

In the lead-up to the 2022 vote, Jair Bolsonaro repeatedly cast unfounded doubts on Brazil’s electronic voting system. No significant fraud ever has been detected.

Lula seeks a fourth term

Lula, who got his start as a union worker and has a missing pinky finger from an accident in a factory when he was 19, has at times inspired cult-like devotion. He spent more than a year in prison on corruption convictions that later were annulled before winning a third nonconsecutive term in 2022. Brazilian law limits presidents to two consecutive terms, but Lula left office before his current tenure.

Former President Obama once called him “the world’s most popular politician.” But during his current term, Lula’s approval ratings fell as low as 24%, one of his lowest levels. Voters’ concerns about crime and the cost of living could hurt him at the ballot box. He has promised to ensure Brazilians are the ones to benefit from the country’s rare minerals and resources, protect the Amazon rainforest and continue his flagship welfare program, Bolsa Familia.

Bolsonaro invokes his father’s legacy

With former President Jair Bolsonaro barred from running and under house arrest while serving a 27-year sentence for the 2022-23 coup attempt, his eldest son largely has embraced his father’s ultraconservative agenda, though at times trying to strike a more moderate communication style.

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His hard-line security policies have been a pillar of his campaign, and polls show these proposals are popular among Brazilians. The senator has pledged to fight the country’s criminal groups by building El Salvador-style megaprisons, following the Trump administration’s lead by designating transnational gangs terrorist organizations and reducing the age to be tried as an adult to 16.

Deforestation in the Amazon rainforest, which plays a vital role in climate change globally, hit a record high under former President Bolsonaro. Sen. Bolsonaro, like his father, has denied the existence of human-caused climate change and committed only to stopping illegal deforestation.

Sen. Bolsonaro’s admission of accepting millions of dollars from disgraced banker Daniel Vorcaro to produce a film on his father’s life has cast a shadow over his campaign. He is under investigation for corruption, money laundering and tax evasion in connection with the case.

Trump looms large

Lula repeatedly has warned the U.S. not to meddle in Brazil’s elections. The Trump administration did not respond to a request for comment on whether it is seeking to influence the vote.

Last year, Trump imposed 50% tariffs on Brazilian goods, citing — among other reasons — the trial of his friend Jair Bolsonaro. This year, the U.S. imposed a new round of tariffs, citing unfair trade practices despite running a U.S. surplus, and classified Brazil’s biggest drug-trafficking groups as foreign terrorist organizations shortly after a visit to the White House from Sen. Bolsonaro. Lula opposed both moves.

A victory by Sen. Bolsonaro would add Brazil to a list of Latin American countries — including Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica and Peru — that have elected Trump-friendly governments in recent years.

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Lula has made defending Brazilian sovereignty a major campaign issue. In the days before the election, his team launched a Portuguese version of the Bad Bunny song “Lo que le pasó a Hawaii,” which invokes the U.S. colonization of pre-statehood Hawaii as a cautionary tale.

Hughes and Brigida write for the Associated Press. Brigida reported from Mexico City.

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