BUZZMETER

What’s the Awards Buzz?

Wondering what shows and performers to vote for? Take a look at our Buzzmeter panelists’ picks for guidance. They’ve got a pretty good track record after all, with an accuracy rate above 90% in picking the nominees. So don’t lose the faith now! Here you can see what and whom these Emmy Illuminati now pick as the likeliest winners in 14 major categories – and track their confidence in those contenders, as far back as April of this year. Can you beat the experts’ picks?

By Los Angeles Times Staff

The Critics

Lorraine Ali

Los Angeles Times

Kristen Baldwin

Entertainment Weekly

Kelly Lawler

USA Today

Tom O’Neil

Gold Derby

Matt Roush

TV Guide Magazine

Glenn Whipp

The Envelope Staff

Drama Series

1

Game of Thrones


Perhaps you’ve heard – it’s ‘Game of Thrones’ ‘ last season. Expect nothing less than for Emmy voters to catapult HBO to the forefront … helping the network reclaim its throne as a top award winner.

—Lorraine Ali
AprilJuneJuly
1st 1st 1st

2

Killing Eve


Both ‘The Crown’ and ‘The Handmaid’s Tale’ (Season 3) aren’t eligible this year, so look for some fresh blood [possibly winning] in the drama category.

—Kristen Baldwin
AprilJuneJuly
2nd 2nd 2nd

3

Pose


‘Pose’ is a top-shelf Ryan Murphy melodrama — corny and compassionate and adept at telling smart stories about race, sexuality and class. It’s also revolutionary, casting five trans women of color to anchor the show. Its second season premiered as Emmy ballots went out, and the hoopla should prod latecomer voters to give it a chance.

—Glenn Whipp
AprilJuneJuly
7th 5th 3rd

4

Better Call Saul


The show has received so much acclaim (and nominations, including four for drama series), it's no longer thought of as ‘that ‘Breaking Bad’ prequel.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
3rd 3rd 4th

5

Succession


Will its raft of honors for its freshman season (including a DGA for Adam McKay) translate to an Emmy win?

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
6th 9th 5th

6

Ozark


Five nominations last year, nine this year. Seems like it's gaining momentum.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
9th 8th 6th

7

This Is Us


The popular tearjerker has won three acting awards but not the big prize yet, despite nominations in all three of its seasons.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
4th 4th 7th

8

Bodyguard


The best drama nom is the first for a BBC show in nearly 50 years, but, surprisingly, star Richard Madden was left out.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
12th 7th 8th

Drama Lead Actress

1

Sandra Oh

Killing Eve

After Oh lost last year’s Emmy but went on to win a slew of other awards, the Television Academy will take notice. A rising ‘Killing Eve’ tide [could] also lift up Jodie Comer, who gives an equally powerful performance on the show.

—Kelly Lawler
AprilJuneJuly
1st 1st 1st

2

Jodie Comer

Killing Eve

Oh, my! Sandra Oh is on a roll, but there’s a groundswell for her fascinating costar Jodie Comer as ‘Eve’s’ insane engine.

—Matt Roush
AprilJuneJuly
3rd 2nd 2nd

3

Emilia Clarke

Game of Thrones

The three-time nominee may not have won the Iron Throne, but Emmy gold would be a nice consolation prize.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
4th 4th 3rd

4

Laura Linney

Ozark

She already has four Emmys in six nominations over five different projects, plus three Oscar noms. What's one more?

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
6th 5th 4th

5

Viola Davis

How to Get Away with Murder

There was a plethora of strong female roles this year, and a dynamic mix of former Oscar- and Emmy-winning performers to fill them.

—Lorraine Ali
AprilJuneJuly
5th

6

Robin Wright

House of Cards

Emmy voters rewarded mainstays Wright and Michael Kelly for hanging in in the face of the Spacey scandal and providing a proper finish to the show that launched the streaming era. It’s Wright’s sixth acting nomination for the show, for which she also shares two drama series noms as an executive producer. She also finishes the run having directed more episodes than anyone else.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
7th 7th 6th

7

Mandy Moore

This Is Us

Things just got 'So Real' for the first-time Emmy nominee.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
7th

Drama Lead Actor

1

Billy Porter

Pose

Some of the biggest performances of the year, including Billy Porter as the impassioned Pray Tell, make this an unusually exciting category.

—Matt Roush
AprilJuneJuly
3rd 2nd 1st

2

Kit Harington

Game of Thrones

Did we mention ‘Game of Thrones’ is ending … forever?! Kit Harington may actually stand a chance this time at winning the category, especially if voters are feeling sentimental.

—Lorraine Ali
AprilJuneJuly
4th 3rd 2nd

3

Bob Odenkirk

Better Call Saul

Odenkirk is a front-runner as his transformation into Saul Goodman takes shape.

—Matt Roush
AprilJuneJuly
1st 4th 3rd

4

Jason Bateman

Ozark

Who could have foreseen Teen Wolf (Too) becoming the awards darling he has been in recent years? He has seven Emmy nominations - including two for directing ‘Ozark’ episodes.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
5th 5th 4th

5

Sterling K. Brown

This Is Us

Brown already has two Emmys (one for ‘American Crime Story: The People v. O.J. Simpson’).

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
2nd 3rd 5th

6

Milo Ventimiglia

This Is Us

That's three straight best actor noms for the Anaheim native.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
9th 11th 6th

Drama Supporting Actress

1

Maisie Williams

Game of Thrones

‘Thrones’ ’ wicked Queen Cersei (Lena Headey) seemed a lock until we saw how little they gave her to do in the final season, so I'm giving her slot to Williams as the heroic Arya.

—Matt Roush
AprilJuneJuly
5th 1st 1st

2

Fiona Shaw

Killing Eve

Shaw is nominated as 'Eve's' deadpan, mysterious MI-6 boss; she also appeared in 'Eve' creator Phoebe Waller-Bridge's 'Fleabag' as a clueless shrink.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
6th 7th 2nd

3

Julia Garner

Ozark

‘Ozark’s’ Garner is the one to beat.

—Matt Roush
AprilJuneJuly
2nd 2nd 3rd

4

Gwendolyn Christie

Game of Thrones

She and fellow ‘Thrones’ nominees Alfie Allen and Carice van Houten paid the entry fees after HBO did not submit them for Emmy consideration. It sure paid off – this is her first nomination.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
11th 10th 4th

5

Lena Headey

Game of Thrones

The five-time nominee for this role came into Emmy season as the favorite; one of the shakeups of 'GoT's' final season was its showcasing of Arya (Maisie Williams) instead.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
1st 3rd 5th

6

Sophie Turner

Game of Thrones

It's the first nomination for the Queen in the North (and Dark Phoenix).

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
4th 5th 6th

Drama Supporting Actor

1

Peter Dinklage

Game of Thrones

In the fight between Saul Goodman [and Co.] and the Lannister brothers, the Lannisters will probably win.

—Kelly Lawler
AprilJuneJuly
1st 1st 1st

2

Nikolaj Coster-Waldau

Game of Thrones

It's the Academy's last chance to honor perhaps 'Game of Thrones’ ’ most transformative character arc.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
3rd 3rd 2nd

2

Giancarlo Esposito

Better Call Saul

He was previously nominated for this role in 'Breaking Bad.'

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
7th 7th 2nd

4

Jonathan Banks

Better Call Saul

He has had five nominations over two series for this role.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
4th 5th 4th

5

Michael Kelly

House of Cards

Emmy voters rewarded mainstays Kelly (his fourth nomination) and Robin Wright for hanging in in the face of the Spacey scandal and providing a proper finish to the show that launched the streaming era.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
8th 9th 5th

6

Chris Sullivan

This Is Us

There may be at least 12 ‘Chris Sullivans’ on IMDb, but he’s the only one to get his first Emmy nom for ‘This Is Us’ after sharing two SAG ensemble awards with the cast.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
6th

7

Alfie Allen

Game of Thrones

You might have guessed he’s the brother of Lily Allen, but did you know he’s a cousin of Sam Smith? He’s also an adopted son of Ned Stark, enjoying his first-ever Emmy nom – on his own dime, no less. He and fellow nominees Gwendoline Christie and Carice van Houten paid their entry fees after HBO did not submit them for consideration.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
7th

Comedy Series

1

Veep


HBO’s Emmy magnet 'Veep' is back after a two-year absence, and it will likely dominate in all the comedy categories.

—Kristen Baldwin
AprilJuneJuly
1st 1st 1st

2

Barry


In its first season last year, it received 13 Emmy nominations (six of them Creative Arts Emmys), winning three - including for actors Bill Hader and Henry Winkler. It jumped to 15 this year.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
1st 1st 2nd

3

The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel


Sending 'Veep' off with a fourth best comedy win would help confirm its place in TV history, but 'Mrs. Maisel' is easier to love, so this could be a tough call.

—Matt Roush
AprilJuneJuly
3rd 3rd 3rd

4

Fleabag


Two nominations last year, including one for Daniel Craig-requested new writer for James Bond, Phoebe Waller-Bridge, turned into 11 this year.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
4th 4th

5

The Good Place


One of the most clever and twisty comedies on TV got two acting noms last year; it would be heavenly to see it get more notice this time.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
4th 6th 5th

6

Russian Doll


This wicked twist on 'Groundhog Day,' easily the trippiest of all the comedy contenders (sorry, 'The Good Place'), grabbed 11 nominations.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
10th 7th 6th

7

Schitt's Creek


The Canadian show has won more than 30 major awards, including two Canadian Screen Awards for best comedy.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
7th

Comedy Lead Actress

1

Julia Louis-Dreyfus

Veep

Honestly, this category should just have one nominee: Julia Louis-Dreyfus. If beating cancer and being incredibly brilliant in the final season of ‘Veep’ doesn’t earn her the win, nothing will.

—Kristen Baldwin
AprilJuneJuly
1st 1st 1st

2

Phoebe Waller-Bridge

Fleabag

The world may be the oyster of the everything-winning creator of 'Fleabag' and 'Killing Eve' (and polisher of the new Bond script, and beloved droid in 'Solo'), but this is actually the last chance to honor her for this character, as she swears 'Fleabag' is over.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
4th 2nd

3

Rachel Brosnahan

The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel

The reigning champ has unified the belts (Emmy, Critics' Choice, SAG, Golden Globes, TCA).

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
2nd 2nd 3rd

4

Catherine O'Hara

Schitt's Creek

The venerable comic actress has five nominations as a co-writer on ‘SCTV Network 90.’ This is her second acting nomination.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
10th 9th 4th

5

Christina Applegate

Dead to Me

Applegate has five nominations (one win) over three shows. Her 'Dead to Me' character's breast-cancer diagnosis was written in on the actress' suggestion, as Applegate is a survivor herself.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
5th

6

Natasha Lyonne

Russian Doll

Although Louis-Dreyfus has this sewn up, the real question [was] whether Lyonne and [Catherine] O’Hara [of 'Schitt's Creek'] [would] break through this stacked category for their offbeat but critically acclaimed shows.

—Kelly Lawler
AprilJuneJuly
3rd 3rd 6th

Comedy Lead Actor

1

Bill Hader

Barry

The reigning champ is also nominated for directing. Pop quiz: For what did he win his first Emmy? Hint: There's ample parking day or night, people spouting, 'Howdy, neighbor!'

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
1st 1st 1st

2

Ted Danson

The Good Place

He has two wins. And 16 nominations.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
3rd 3rd 2nd

3

Michael Douglas

Kominsky Method

Douglas (and his costar Alan Arkin) will be hard to beat this year for the bittersweet ‘The Kominsky Method.'

—Glenn Whipp
AprilJuneJuly
2nd 2nd 3rd

4

Eugene Levy

Schitt's Creek

The esteemed veteran made history when he and son (and his collaborator on ‘Schitt’s Creek’) were both nominated for best actor in a comedy by the Canadian Screen Awards. He says it’s the first time a father and son were nominated in the same category for the same show, ever.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
8th 4th

5

Don Cheadle

Black Monday

Recent headlines plus the Television Academy’s deep love for Don Cheadle (he was nominated four times for Showtime’s 'House of Lies') [may have helped to] bump perennial nominee William H. Macy out of the running this year.

—Kristen Baldwin
AprilJuneJuly
5th 4th 5th

6

Anthony Anderson

Black-Ish

He had previously been nominated seven times for his roles on camera and behind the scenes of 'Black-ish.'

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
4th 6th 6th

Comedy Supporting Actress

1

Alex Borstein

The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel

Pulled off two wins last year, for this role and for her voice work on 'Family Guy.'

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
2nd 1st 1st

2

Olivia Colman

Fleabag

Colman [is] likely to sneak into this category on the strength of [her] other projects (including 'The Favourite').

—Kelly Lawler
AprilJuneJuly
6th 4th 2nd

3

Kate McKinnon

Saturday Night Live

Two-time winner (six-time nominee) McKinnon is also a standout in the big-screen 'Yesterday.'

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
3rd 3rd 3rd

4

Anna Chlumsky

Veep

Her five nominations in this role may or may not equal her MTV Movie Award for Best Kiss (shared with Macaulay Culkin) for 'My Girl' (1991, age 10-11).

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
1st 2nd 4th

5

Sarah Goldberg

Barry

This is the first nomination for Goldberg, who also shared the cast’s SAG ensemble nom earlier this year. Bat-Trivia: She played ‘Analyst 1’ in ‘The Dark Knight Rises.’

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
5th

6

Betty Gilpin

GLOW

Don’t mess with the ladies of 'GLOW.'

—Lorraine Ali
AprilJuneJuly
4th 5th 6th

7

Sian Clifford

Fleabag

This is the first nomination for the actress also known as Martha Crawley in the 2018 ‘Vanity Fair’ limited series.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
7th

8

Marin Hinkle

The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel

‘Maisel’s’ Borstein won last year. And she’ll probably win again, though the nomination of Hinkle adds a wrinkle.

—Glenn Whipp
AprilJuneJuly
8th 6th 8th

Comedy Supporting Actor

1

Alan Arkin

Kominsky Method

So happy for Winkler’s long-overdue win last year, but now it’s a battle between the ‘Veep’ lunatics and the curmudgeonly ‘Kominsky’ veteran.

—Matt Roush
AprilJuneJuly
1st 1st 1st

2

Tony Hale

Veep

He has two wins (and five previous nominations) for this role - hard to believe he never got one for 'Arrested Development' - but whatever else he does this year is likely to be overshadowed by his memorable performance as an anxious spork in 'Toy Story 4.'

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
2nd 3rd 2nd

3

Henry Winkler

Barry

Heyyyyy, after six previous Emmy nominations, the reigning champ can sit on last year's win in this category.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
2nd 1st 3rd

4

Tony Shalhoub

The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel

Three-time winner (for 'Monk'), 10-time nominee.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
4th 4th 4th

5

Anthony Carrigan

Barry

I don’t want to live in a world where his excellence as NoHo Hank goes unrecognized.

—Kelly Lawler
AprilJuneJuly
5th 5th 5th

6

Stephen Root

Barry

The onetime downtrodden Milton Waddams of ‘Office Space’ earns his first Emmy nomination as the protagonist’s cold-hearted boss.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
12th 6th

Limited Series

1

When They See Us


An embarrassment of riches in the year's most competitive category. Ava DuVernay's shattering account of the Central Park Five came on late to upstage Ben Stiller's terrific escape drama.

—Matt Roush
AprilJuneJuly
8th 6th 1st

2

Chernobyl


HBO's nuclear disaster horror story was unexpectedly resonant.

—Matt Roush
AprilJuneJuly
2nd 2nd

3

Escape at Dannemora


Ben Stiller’s gripping prison-escape drama seems the show to beat.

—Matt Roush
AprilJuneJuly
1st 1st 3rd

4

Fosse/Verdon


Likely a two-way battle between the terrific true-crime drama 'Dannemora' and the razzle-dazzle showbiz tale 'Fosse/Verdon.'

—Glenn Whipp
AprilJuneJuly
2nd 4th 4th

5

Sharp Objects


This has been a so-so category in Emmys past, but this time around, it’s a different story. All were some of the best productions of the past year, in any category.

—Lorraine Ali
AprilJuneJuly
4th 5th 5th

TV Movie

1

Deadwood: The Movie


Imagine Al Swearengen’s rant if the long-awaited ‘Deadwood’ movie doesn’t come out on top. (At least you didn’t have to choose an ending.)

—Matt Roush
AprilJuneJuly
2nd 2nd 1st

2

Black Mirror: Bandersnatch


The Television Academy ruled last year that single episodes of series could compete as TV movies provided that they’re 75 minutes or longer … which is why the 90-minute-plus ‘Bandersnatch’ [was eligible to] land a spot.

—Kristen Baldwin
AprilJuneJuly
1st 1st 2nd

3

King Lear


The ultra-streamlined (under 2 hours) Shakespeare tragedy certainly has the pedigree: Anthony Hopkins, Emma Thompson and rising star Florence Pugh.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
3rd 3rd 3rd

4

Brexit


It's so timely, it's still happening. Benedict Cumberbatch was apparently restored from the ashes in 'Avengers: Endgame' to lead the 'Vote Leave' campaign.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
4th 4th 4th

5

My Dinner with Herve


The fall of the British Empire, Part II, the return of the Old West, and whatever the hell ‘Black Mirror: Bandersnatch’ is about, face off against a king and the prince of 'Fantasy Island.'

—Lorraine Ali
AprilJuneJuly
5th 5th 5th

Limited/Movie Lead Actress

1

Patricia Arquette

Escape at Dannemora

The more damaged the better, when it comes to choosing between Arquette’s pathetically delusional prison worker and Amy Adams, showing her dark side as the self-abusing prodigal daughter [in ‘Sharp Objects’].

—Matt Roush
AprilJuneJuly
1st 1st 1st

2

Michelle Williams

Fosse/Verdon

A lot of water has passed under the bridge from 'Dawson's Creek' to four Oscar nominations; the versatile actress-singer-dancer has a great shot at her first Emmy nomination.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
3rd 2nd 2nd

3

Amy Adams

Sharp Objects

Between Amy Adams’ haunting performance as a dysfunctional journalist returning to her spooky hometown in 'Sharp Objects' and Patricia Arquette as a desperate prison employee and pawn in 'Escape at Dannemora,' there’s no shortage of great picks for this category.

—Lorraine Ali
AprilJuneJuly
2nd 3rd 3rd

4

Neicy Nash

When They See Us

Nash’s two previous primetime nominations came for ‘Getting On.’ She also collected a daytime Emmy (and three other nominations) for ‘Clean House.’

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
4th

5

Joey King

The Act

The nomination for her breakthrough dramatic performance was an early birthday present to the just-turned-20-year-old King.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
5th 5th

6

Aunjanue Ellis

When They See Us

This is the first nomination for the San Francisco-born Ellis. She has collected other honors for works including ‘The Help,’ ‘The Book of Negroes’ and ‘Abducted: The Carlina White Story.’

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
6th

Limited/Movie Lead Actor

1

Jharrel Jerome

When They See Us

Jharrel Jerome turned in a heartbreaking, star-making performance in ‘When They See Us’ and deserves his nomination in a crowded field.

—Matt Roush
AprilJuneJuly
5th 1st

2

Jared Harris

Chernobyl

Harris has long been one of our finest actors and his turn as the principled nuclear physicist blowing the whistle on the ‘Chernobyl’ cover-up just deepens the appreciation. Harris isn’t the biggest name among the contenders, but he might just be the best.

—Glenn Whipp
AprilJuneJuly
4th 2nd

3

Mahershala Ali

True Detective

Returning to TV with two Oscars under his belt, Ali made the most of an expansive and tricky role and is poised to add an Emmy to his accolades.

—Matt Roush
AprilJuneJuly
2nd 3rd 3rd

4

Benicio Del Toro

Escape at Dannemora

The Oscar, SAG, and BAFTA winner could escape with an Emmy.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
5th 6th 4th

5

Hugh Grant

Very English Scandal

Grant's impressive resurgence continues.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
1st 1st 5th

6

Sam Rockwell

Fosse/Verdon

The Oscar, SAG, and BAFTA winner looks to add an Emmy to all that jazz.

—Envelope Staff
AprilJuneJuly
3rd 2nd 6th

Credits: Helen Sloane / HBO, Christopher Saunders / Showtime, Sophie Mutevelian / BBC / Blueprint Television, AP, HBO, Al Seib / Los Angeles Times, Mike Yarish / Netflix, Kirk McKoy / Los Angeles Times, Michael Owen Baker / For The Times, Netflix, Micha Theiner / For The Times, Atsushi Nishijima / Netflix, Eric Liebowitz / FX, Ron Cadiz / Sony Music Entertainment, Atsushi Nishijima/Netflix, Nicole Rivelli, Helen Sloan / HBO