Ed Royce
Darrell Issa
Steve Knight
Dana Rohrabacher
Mimi Walters
Jeff Denham
David Valadao
Duncan Hunter
Devin Nunes
Tom McClintock
Salud Carbajal
Ami Bera
Scott Peters
Raul Ruiz

Track the California races that could flip the House

By Christina Bellantoni, Julie Westfall and Allison Wisk

Design by Joe Fox and Priya Krishnakumar


Next update:

The stakes are high in this year's midterm elections: control of the U.S. House. For Democrats to reclaim power, they must forge a path through California, home to 39 Democratic-held seats and 14 Republican-held ones. The party considers 10 districts here to be battlegrounds and can't win the House without winning at least a few of them.

Retirements in Southern California have created two open-seat races that could make that task a bit easier. On the other hand, Republicans could recruit strong and experienced candidates who might fare better against a crowded field of Democratic hopefuls, many of whom are seeking office for the first time.

Taking multiple factors into account, The Times’ California politics editors have ranked the hottest races by the intensity of the fight ahead. We’ll be updating our rankings, and subscribers to the Essential Politics newsletter will be the first to learn what’s changed.

Most competitive