A little bit of vintage Hollywood was left off the list of
Robert Redford was snubbed from the best actor list for his turn as a laconic sailor in “All Is Lost,” while “Saving Mr. Banks,” Disney’s look at the midcentury making of the “Mary Poppins” movie, didn’t make the cut for outstanding cast in a motion picture.
The news was discouraging for both contenders. Both had been considered favorites in their respective categories. And both categories are thought accurate predictors of Oscar glory.
The cast award has correctly predicted at least four of five best picture nominees in every one of the last five years, while SAG’s best actor winner has accurately predicted Oscar’s winner in the category for nine straight years.
"Banks" did get attention in the best actress category, as lead
For Redford, there was some solace in the knowledge that best actor has been considered especially strong this year. Still, the arrival of
The outstanding cast list was peppered with surprises. “August: Osage County,” a movie whose prospects were considered shaky just a few weeks ago, made the cut, as did “The Butler,” a film not thought of as a best picture front-runner. Jean-Marc Vallee's
If form holds, at least two of them will make the best picture short list when it's announced in mid-January.
The actors branch is the largest of the Motion Picture Academy, and its guild's Jan. 18 awards—as well as the run-up to it—can be a key indicator of, as well as tool for, the seasonal Oscar race.
PHOTOS: SAG Awards 2014 top nominees
While the five best actress nominees all followed forecasters’ predictions, the supporting categories contained some mild surprises: June Sqibb’s nomination for her turn as a zinger-slinger in “Nebraska” boosted her chances, while Barkhad Abdi and
Also solidifying its prospects was
But another late entrant,