Yes, Republicans are currently engaged in a round of intraparty sniping between establishment conservatives and the militant, purist right-wingers who abound in the ranks of party activists. And, yes, the 2012 election exposed the GOP’s profound unpopularity among rising voting groups, especially Latinos. But one good presidential candidate and one comprehensive
The Republican base among older, rural, white voters may be shrinking with every new obituary, but the party has structural advantages that could forestall electoral disaster.
In the 2010 midterm elections, Republicans won big in state legislative races, picking up 675 seats nationwide. Before that election, the GOP was in full control of 14 state legislatures while Democrats were in charge in 27. After the election, Republicans had won control in 26 states and Democrats' number had dropped to 17. As a result, Republicans were able to redraw congressional districts more to their liking in several key states. Redistricting has given Republicans such an advantage that they do not need to command anything close to a majority nationwide in order to retain control of the
Republicans are also positioned well to take back power in the
In the coming election, there appears to be no Republican senator who is in dire risk of losing his seat, and the two who are retiring are from the GOP-leaning states of Nebraska and Georgia. Democrats, meanwhile, have six incumbent senators who are retiring, four of them from states that are favorable ground for Republicans – West Virginia, South Dakota, Iowa and Montana.
Montana got on the list of good prospects for Republicans on Tuesday when Democratic officials revealed that their chairman of the
And that brings us to the biggest political prize of all: the presidency. Romney's loss is what brought on all this Republican angst, but, even though he was a flawed candidate in many ways, he did not lose by a landslide. A shift of a few thousand votes in a few key states would have given him victory.
The Democrats’ assumption is that they will have an unbeatable candidate for president in 2016 –
Republicans might blow an opportunity for victory by going crazy and nominating a man to please their fevered base --