Islamic State

A terrorist attack in Germany could have hurt Angela Merkel politically. So far, it hasn't

A terrorist attack in Germany could have hurt Angela Merkel politically. So far, it hasn't

Until recently, the conventional wisdom in Berlin held that a major terrorist attack attributed to one of the more than 1 million refugees and migrants allowed into Germany since mid-2015 would spell doom for Chancellor Angela Merkel, who faces a reelection bid in September.

Then, on Dec. 19, just such an attack occurred. A man plowed a stolen truck into a crowded outdoor Christmas market in Berlin, killing 12 people. Police sought a suspect who, they said, was a Tunisian refugee who had sought asylum in Germany. Islamic State claimed responsibility for the attack.

And then an odd thing happened.

Merkel’s popularity did not fall off a cliff. In fact, it has...

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