In a column last weekend, I warned that the
On Wednesday, the Cook Political Report, a widely respected firm that forecasts congressional elections for a living, issued a new outlook for the Senate — and for Democrats, the verdict was even bleaker than before.
Cook’s chief Senate watcher, Jennifer Duffy, moved three races in which Democratic incumbents are trying to keep their jobs from the “leaning Democrat” category into the “tossup” column: Alaska (Sen.
On the other hand, Duffy also moved two Republican seats into the “tossup” column: Georgia, where Sen.
Two more seats currently held by Democrats were already rated as toss-ups: Arkansas (Sen. David Pryor) and Michigan (where Sen.
Duffy properly noted that it's only March and not too much should be read into these ratings yet. "Control of the Senate is a jump ball, and no Democratic Senate incumbent is toast … today," she wrote.
Still, here's how the arithmetic works: Republicans need six more seats to win control of the Senate. They're almost universally expected to grab three seats currently held by Democrats (in Montana, South Dakota and West Virginia).
If, on top of those, the GOP can win only three of the seven "tossup" seats, a Republican will be the next Senate majority leader. It just might not turn out to be McConnell.
If any of you Democrats have had the fortitude to read this far, here's one small ray of hope: There might be a competitive race in one of the nation's most conservative states, Mississippi.
Democrats are hoping McDaniel will win that primary and turn into the GOP’s next
If McDaniel wins the GOP nomination, the Democratic Senate Campaign Committee says it will pour money into Mississippi to support the likely Democratic candidate, former Rep.