The Creative Arts
FOR THE RECORD
A previous version of this post said that the Creative Arts Emmys would take place on Sunday.
COMEDY GUEST ACTOR
Should win: Buscemi
Will win: Fallon
Analysis: Newhart won last year for "The Big Bang Theory," and he's so well-loved that he could pull off a repeat, though voters rarely go the rerun route in this category. (
Lane won his third nomination for "Modern Family," but he doesn't have much screen time in his submitted episode. Nor does Cole for "Veep."
Buscemi, meanwhile, owns his "Portlandia" episode. Playing a sad-sack celery salesman desperate to give the vegetable a brand makeover in the Golden Age of Kale, Buscemi demonstrates his gifts as a comic actor, goofing on the Willy Loman and "Glengarry Glen Ross" stereotypes.
Buscemi deserves the Emmy, but Fallon, riding a crest of popularity since taking over
COMEDY GUEST ACTRESS
Uzo Aduba, "Orange Is the New Black"
Laverne Cox, "Orange Is the New Black"
Natasha Lyonne, "Orange Is the New Black"
Should win: Aduba
Will win: Aduba
Analysis: First, the obvious: Fey and McCarthy have been much, much better in previous "SNL" hosting gigs. Cusack, meanwhile, finds herself in the comedy category after being nominated for the same "Shameless" role three years running in drama guest actress. The category switch won't help her win, though she does show a lot of range in her submitted episode, "Liver, I Hardly Know Her."
That leaves the "Orange" trio, each of whom, thanks to the show's flashback format, have outstanding episodes up for consideration. With work this good, it comes down to what will pop for voters, and Aduba's unhinged "Crazy Eyes" character has become one of the series' true breakout characters. Though Cox sports a better story arc (and the notoriety of being the first openly transgender Emmy nominee), we think Aduba will prevail.
DRAMA GUEST ACTOR
Beau Bridges, "Masters of Sex"
Reg E. Cathey,
Should win: Bridges
Will win: Bridges
Analysis: "Mad Men" has never won an acting Emmy. Ever. It's 0 for 31. The show has three more chances this year (Jon Hamm and
Baker has now been nominated three times for his "Good Wife" slimeball and for better episodes than this year's submission. Giamatti, playing Cora's brother on "Downton," owns plenty of screen time, but it's not exactly a showy role. (Cathey, who plays the barbecue master in "Cards," has the same problem.) Morton, meanwhile, is at the other end of the acting spectrum, chewing scenery the way
That leaves Bridges. A three-time Emmy winner (on 15 nominations), Bridges owns a showcase episode that finds his "Masters" university provost struggling to come to terms with his homosexuality in heartbreaking fashion. It's the most substantial acting nominated here and it will likely win.
DRAMA GUEST ACTRESS
Should win: Janney
Will win: Janney