Jered Weaver will take the ball in Safeco Field for his seventh opening-day start, most in franchise history, and he will not blow away the Mariners with his fastball. Velocity isn't Weaver's thing. You know it. He knows it. The American people know it.
Weaver's fastball averaged 86.3 mph in 2014, nearly 6 mph slower than the major league average of 92.1 mph. He averaged 86.5 mph in 2013 and 87.8 mph in 2012. He was a combined 49-22 with a 3.24 earned-run average in those three seasons.
"I don't really pay attention to velocity," Weaver, 32, said. "A big part of my game has been keeping guys off-balance with my curve and changeup, trying to miss barrels, making pitches when I need to and trying to out-think the other guy."
Scouts believe less velocity leaves less margin for error. Weaver's mistakes can be hit hard, as the career-high 27 home runs he gave up last season show. But Weaver doesn't make many mistakes, and hitters often look silly flailing at his off-speed pitches.
Weaver also competes. He has the stuff of a craftsman and mentality of a pitbull, a combination that continues to make him one of baseball's best pitchers, even if his name rarely comes up in that conversation.
"That really baffles me, because I think the velocity he pitched with when he won 20 games a couple years ago was probably a little less than what he ended up with last year," Manager
Wilson's control problems — he walked 85 in 175 2/3 innings last season — left him susceptible to big innings. But he worked hard over the off-season to smooth out his delivery, he pitched well this spring, and Scioscia believes he'll bounce back.
"I think he's throwing the ball as well as I've seen him throw," Scioscia said. "I think a lot of the second-half issues from health to consistency to release point have been resolved. I look for a big year from C.J."
The question for
And he didn't change from 2013 to 2014. His stuff — a 91-mph fastball, slider, curve and an often devastating split-fingered fastball — just played better in major league parks at sea level than it did in high-altitude Salt Lake.
"What Shoe does is pretty simple," Iannetta said. "He throws strikes and gets ahead. The only way he'll have any type of regression is if he loses command."
Added Scioscia: "It's not like he made any adjustments or stepped up, he just got the opportunity and proved he can do it. He doesn't have to throw 2 mph harder because all of a sudden people know who Matt Shoemaker is. He's going to pitch his game and hopefully have similar results."
But Santiago, who throws a fastball, slider, cut-fastball, changeup and screwball, showed last season he can be an asset, rebounding from an 0-7, 4.44 ERA start with a 6-2 record and 3.32 ERA in 19 games after June 22.
"That fifth spot is big," Iannetta said. "You don't need them to throw a shutout every game, but if you can be consistent, eat up some innings and give us a chance to win every night, then we'll be in a good spot."
The Angels could be in a very good spot if the hard-throwing Richards, who emerged as one of baseball's best pitchers in 2014, returns fully from surgery for a ruptured patellar tendon. The 18 scoreless innings he has thrown in three minor league and intrasquad games is an indication he could.
Richards will pitch again in Arizona on Thursday and should begin a minor league rehabilitation assignment April 14. He is expected back by late April.