Wever didn't know how to react to her win, but she should have at least allowed for the possibility, as the Emmy acting categories are judged not for the whole season but for a single submitted episode. (At least that's how voters are directed to proceed.) Sometimes this methodology can produce some bizarre outcomes, though usually not as many as last year. Who might pull off an upset in 2014? Read on for our early predictions.
Will win: "Breaking Bad"
Analysis: "Breaking Bad" was in the middle of its final few episodes last year when, on its fourth try, it finally won the series Emmy. Based on the high quality and emotional payoff contained in that last hurrah, it was widely assumed then that this crew would repeat this time out. And it probably will, edging out the cosmically complex
Will win: McConaughey
Analysis: As with series, this comes down to "True Detective" versus "Breaking Bad," pitting Bryan Cranston's indelible, iconic antihero against McConaughey's haunted truth-teller. This is the last chance to honor Cranston but the only opportunity to reward newly minted Oscar winner McConaughey. Given Cranston's four previous wins, give the slight edge to the Emmy newcomer.
Should win: Julianna Margulies,
DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTOR
Will win: Paul
Analysis: It's last call for both Paul and
DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Will win: Gunn
Analysis: It's tempting to predict an upset here, as voters could go with the sensationalistic
Will win: "Orange Is the New Black"
Analysis: As much as Emmy voters love reruns, there's the feeling that "Modern Family" won't win here five years running. "Orange Is the New Black," revolutionary in so many ways, would be the logical successor, though some voters might snub it because it isn't an outright comedy. If that's the case, maybe the great
Should win: Ricky Gervais, "Derek"
Will win: Jim Parsons,
Analysis: For the moment, at least, we're going to play the percentages and go with the safe pick, Parsons. But Gervais, on a divisive show that doesn't get the publicity of its
Will win: Julia Louis-Dreyfus, "Veep"
Analysis: Although we may be at the tipping point for a new winner in comedy series, Louis-Dreyfus seems safe for another year here, particularly with the strength of both the "Veep" season and her submission episode, the dramatic — and very funny — first half of the season finale. Schilling poses the only threat and shouldn't be discounted for the deft way she negotiated comedy and pathos.
COMEDY SUPPORTING ACTOR
Will win: Braugher
COMEDY SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Should win: Kate Mulgrew, "Orange Is the New Black"
Will win: Mulgrew
Analysis: Emmy voters love
Should win: "
Will win: "The Normal Heart"
Analysis: The television academy combined this category with miniseries for the last three years before separating them again. Prior to that, HBO had won seven straight, and it will begin a new streak for "The Normal Heart," a pointed, passionate adaptation of Larry Kramer's Tony-winning play. Overlooked: The brilliant last episode of "Sherlock," a surprising, suspenseful tale of blackmail that was among the series' finest.
Should win: "Fargo"
Will win: "Fargo"
Analysis: If the makers of
Will win: Billy Bob Thornton, "Fargo"
Analysis: You know a category is crazy-competitive if the presence of "Sherlock's"
Will win: Tyson
Analysis: Tyson already won the Tony for "Bountiful" on Broadway. No way Emmy voters don't follow suit.