We've stood in this exact position before. Thirteen times, in fact, since Affirmed won the
But there is something different about this year. Something that makes people believe that this could be the year.
OK, it's fair to bring up Einstein's definition of insanity at this point. No one would argue that odds and logic say there will be no Triple Crown winner, yet again.
But we're going to convince you anyway and give five reasons why
1. He's the best horse. This is the one you can't dispute. His seven-length win over a sloppy course in
2. He's looking good physically. There is one really big factor that trainers look at when a horse is coming off a short layoff: How's his weight? Last year,
3. It's a small field. No horse has ever won the Triple Crown when having had to beat more than seven horses. The number of other runners on Saturday: seven. With such a small field the chances of getting in needless trouble are less. This puts more emphasis on
4. He can rate. Some horses need to be in the front and others need to come strong at the end. And some are content to just sit off the lead and make their move when they need to. That's called rating. If you look at his commanding performance in the Arkansas Derby, Pharoah stayed comfortably in second place through the turn and all along the backstretch before making his move. In the Kentucky Derby, he couldn't get the lead and ran a ground-losing race in the middle of the track before pulling away at the end. In the
5. The distance isn't that big a factor. Much is made about the 1 1/2-mile length of the