Sam Farmer’s NFL Week 10 picks

The Times’ NFL writer, Sam Farmer, examines this week’s matchups. Lines according to Glantz-Culver (O/U = over/under). Last week’s record 9-4 (.692); season 88-45-1(.661). Using point spreads with the scores Farmer predicted, the record against the spread last week would have been 8-5 (.615); season 76-58 (.567).

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Tennessee (2-6) at Baltimore (5-4)

Sunday, 10 a.m.

Ravens 28, Titans 24

TV: None. DirecTV: 705.

Line: Ravens by 9 1/2. O/U: 44.

The Ravens, who will bounce back after the loss to Pittsburgh, have problems in the secondary they need to patch. But Tennessee’s Zach Mettenberger isn’t going to pick them apart.

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Kansas City (5-3) at Buffalo (5-3)

Sunday, 10 a.m.

Chiefs 21, Bills 18

TV: None. DirecTV: 706.

Line: Chiefs by 2. O/U: 41 1/2.

This game has early playoff implications, and both of these teams have gathered some steam. The Chiefs get the edge because they have a running game, while Buffalo’s backs are hurting.

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Miami (5-3) at Detroit (6-2)

Sunday, 10 a.m.

Lions 28, Dolphins 24

TV: None. DirecTV: 707.

Line: Lions by 3. O/U: 43 1/2.

Possibly the game of the week. The Dolphins have won consecutive games once this season, and have a tendency to take a step back after convincing wins. Detroit holds on at home.

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Pittsburgh (6-3) at N.Y. Jets (1-8)

Sunday, 10 a.m.

Steelers 35, Jets 23

TV: None. DirecTV: 708.

Line: Steelers by 5. O/U: 45¿1/2¿.

Since beating the Raiders in their opener, the Jets have lost every game, most badly. The Steelers offense is on fire with 12 Roethlisberger touchdown passes in the past two games.

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Dallas (6-3) vs. Jacksonville (1-8) in London

Sunday, 10 a.m.

Cowboys 24, Jaguars 17

TV: None. DirecTV: 709.

Line: Off the board. O/U: Off.

Regardless of who’s playing quarterback for them, the Cowboys will handle the Jaguars in London. DeMarco Murray will break a couple of big runs after a sub-100-yard game last Sunday.

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San Francisco (4-4) at New Orleans (4-4)

Sunday, 10 a.m.

Saints 28, 49ers 21

TV: Channel 11. DirecTV: 710.

Line: Saints by 4 1/2. O/U: 49.

The Saints have turned up the heat on opposing quarterbacks, with 11 sacks in the last three games. San Francisco needs to jump-start its sputtering ground game.

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Atlanta (2-6) at Tampa Bay (1-7)

Sunday, 10 a.m.

Buccaneers 21, Falcons 17

TV: None. DirecTV: 711.

Line: Falcons by 1. O/U: 46.

Two bad teams with very little confidence between them. The Buccaneers have the emotional edge because they’re at home and looking to avenge the Falcons’ blowout victory in Week 3.

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Denver (6-2) at Oakland (0-8)

Sunday, 1 p.m.

Broncos 38, Raiders 21

TV: Channel 2. DirecTV: 712.

Line: Broncos by 11 1/2. O/U: 49.

The Raiders are capable of giving good teams problems, especially in Oakland. But after a humbling loss at New England, Peyton Manning is going to have the Broncos on point for this.

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St. Louis (3-5) at Arizona (7-1)

Sunday, 1:15 p.m.

Cardinals 28, Rams 23

TV: None. DirecTV: 713.

Line: Cardinals by 7. O/U: 43.

As good as they’ve been, the Cardinals have yet to put a full game together this season. The Rams are spoilers, but they will be hard-pressed to pull off big wins back to back.

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N.Y. Giants (3-5) at Seattle (5-3)

Sunday, 1:15 p.m.

Seahawks 27, Giants 21

TV: Channel 11. DirecTV: 714.

Line: Seahawks by 9. O/U: 44 1/2.

This should be a gimme for Seattle,

but it likely will be closer than expected. The Giants are streaky, and the Seahawks are struggling to find an offensive groove.

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Chicago (3-5) at Green Bay (5-3)

Sunday, 5:30 p.m.

Packers 31, Bears 28

TV: Channel 4.

Line: Packers by 7. O/U: 53 1/2.

Although he says his hamstring is fine, Aaron Rodgers might be a bit more cautious about running. The up-and-down Bears are better on the road than they are at home.

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Carolina (3-5-1) at Philadelphia (6-2)

Monday, 5:30 p.m.

Panthers 24, Eagles 21

TV: ESPN.

Line: Eagles by 6. O/U: 48.

The Panthers are in a must-win situation and could be primed for an upset, especially with Philadelphia losing the heart of its defense in DeMeco Ryans. Debut for Mark Sanchez as Eagles’ starting QB.