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Wall Street edges higher after report shows inflation easing slightly

An American flag is above the words "New York Stock Exchange" ingraved into the building.
Because the inflation data came in roughly as expected, Wall Street sees the door still open for the Federal Reserve to leave interest rates alone at its next meeting in June.
(Seth Wenig / Associated Press)
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A mixed day of trading left Wall Street slightly higher on Wednesday after a report showed inflation is making strides toward easing, even if it remains too high.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 index rose 18.47 points, or 0.4%, to 4,137.64 after swinging between gains and losses through the day. The Dow Jones industrial average slipped 30.48 points, or 0.1%, to 33,531.33, while the Nasdaq composite rallied 126.89 points, or 1%, to close at 12,306.44.

Bond prices climbed after the highly anticipated report said inflation at the consumer level was 4.9% last month, down from 5% in March and the lowest level in two years. That was slightly better than economists expected, and other underlying measures of inflation also came in very close to forecasts.

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Because of that, Wall Street sees the door still open for the Federal Reserve to leave interest rates alone at its next meeting in June. That would be the first time it hasn’t raised rates at a meeting in more than a year, and a pause would offer some breathing room for the economy and financial markets.

“The concern coming in was that it would be hotter than feared,” said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst at Baird. “While not exactly an exciting report, I think there was enough good news baked in that it shouldn’t impact the Fed or the economic trajectory all that much.”

The Fed has repeatedly raised interest rates in hopes of driving down inflation. But high rates slow the entire economy and depress investment prices. They’ve already caused turmoil in the banking system, and many investors expect a recession to hit this year.

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After the report, traders upped the probability they see of the Fed holding rates steady in June to nearly 94%, according to data from CME Group.

Stocks that benefit the most from an easing of interest rates were leading the way on Wall Street, including tech and other high-growth stocks. Amazon’s 3.3% rise and Microsoft’s 1.7% climb were two of the biggest forces pushing the S&P 500 higher.

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Of course, other economic reports will arrive before the Fed’s next meeting in the middle of June. One will hit Thursday, showing how inflation fared at the wholesale level.

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In the meantime, the annual inflation rate remains much higher than the Fed’s 2% target and continues to squeeze households across the economy, particularly those with the lowest incomes.

On the losing end on Wall Street, Lincoln Financial fell 3.9% after reporting weaker profit for the latest quarter than expected.

Airbnb dropped 10.9% despite reporting a profit that matched analysts’ forecasts. It gave financial forecasts for the current quarter that were weaker than some on Wall Street expected.

The majority of companies in the S&P 500 have topped profit forecasts this reporting season, which is approaching its final stretch. But they’re still on pace to report an overall drop in earnings from a year earlier, which would be the second straight quarter that’s happened.

Icahn Enterprises, the partnership run by high-profile activist investor Carl Icahn, sank 15.1% after disclosing that federal prosecutors had asked for information related to its corporate governance and other matters.

The request from the U.S. attorney’s office in Manhattan came a day after a short-selling research firm, Hindenburg Research, accused Icahn Enterprises of inflating the value of some of its investments. Icahn called the accusations misleading and self-serving and published a rebuttal Wednesday.

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In the bond market, increased hopes for a coming pause from the Fed on rates pushed yields lower.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell to 3.43% from 3.52%. It helps set rates for mortgages and other important loans. The two-year Treasury yield, which moves more on expectations for Fed action, fell to 3.90% from 4.03%.

Besides worries about interest rates and inflation, some corners of the bond market are also swinging on concerns about the U.S. government inching closer to a possible default on its debt. That’s never happened before, and economists warn that a default could be catastrophic for the economy and financial markets.

The widespread expectation is that Congress will come to a deal before the June 1 deadline that many on Wall Street have circled, simply because the alternative would be so painful for everyone. But a meeting in the White House on Tuesday between political leaders yielded no breakthrough, and sniping continues between them.

AP writer Yuri Kageyama contributed to this report.

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