Most of Wall Street slips as the bond market cranks up the pressure
Stocks mostly slipped in mixed trading Monday as the constrictor of higher interest rates tightens its coils around Wall Street.
The Standard & Poor’s 500 index edged up by 0.34 of a point, or less than 0.1%, to 4,288.39, coming off its worst month of the year. The Dow Jones industrial average dropped 74.15 points, or 0.2%, to 33,433.35, and the Nasdaq composite rose 88.45 points, or 0.7%, to 13,307.77.
Slumps for oil-and-gas stocks weighed on the market after crude prices gave back some of the sharp gains made since the summer. The majority of stocks fell alongside them, with more than three quarters of those within the S&P 500 sinking, but gains for Apple and other influential Big Tech stocks helped support indexes.
Stocks have broadly given back about 40% of their strong gains for the year since the end of July. The main reason is Wall Street’s growing acceptance that high interest rates are here to stay a while as the Federal Reserve tries to knock high inflation lower. That, in turn, has pushed Treasury yields to their highest levels in more than a decade.
The Federal Reserve left its key interest rate unchanged for the second time in its last three meetings, a sign that it’s moderating its fight against inflation.
The yield on the 10-year Treasury climbed again Monday, to 4.67% from 4.58% late Friday, and is near its highest level since 2007. High yields send investors toward bonds that are paying much more than in the past, which pulls dollars away from stocks and undercuts their prices.
Stocks that pay high dividends with relatively steady businesses see particular pain because their investors are more likely to switch between stocks and bonds. That puts a harsh spotlight on utility companies. PG&E dropped 5.6%, and Dominion Energy sank 5.3% for some of the sharpest losses in the S&P 500.
High interest rates also make borrowing more expensive for all kinds of companies, which can pressure their profits. Since the Fed indicated last month that it probably won’t cut rates as much in 2024 as earlier expected, the value of the U.S. dollar has also climbed against other currencies. That can mean a painful hit for S&P 500 companies, which get a big chunk of their revenue from abroad.
“If higher-for-longer rates keep the dollar at recent levels, corporate profits will face a genuine head wind,” said Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management.
Besides hurting financial markets in the aim of lowering inflation, high interest rates slow the overall economy and can cause disruptions in far-flung, unexpected corners of the economy.
The overall U.S. economy has been holding up, defying predictions that it would have fallen into a recession by now.
House Speaker Kevin McCarthy’s last-ditch effort to pass legislation to keep the government open has collapsed, making a shutdown almost certain.
Manufacturing has been one area that’s felt the sting of higher rates, and reports Monday suggested it’s still contracting, though perhaps not by as much as expected. A report from the Institute for Supply Management said U.S. manufacturing shrank in September for an 11th straight month.
More encouraging for Wall Street was that the report also indicated prices were easing in September. That could mean less pressure on inflation, which has been feeling heat recently from fast-rising oil prices.
Crude oil prices pulled back Monday after charging higher from $70 in the summer. A barrel of U.S. crude fell $1.97 to settle at $88.82. Brent crude, the international standard, also sank. Brent lost $1.49 to settle at $90.71 a barrel.
The drop for oil dragged stocks lower across the energy sector. Exxon Mobil fell 1.7%, and Chevron lost 1.2%.
SmileDirectClub plunged 61.2% to 16 cents after the company that helps people straighten their teeth filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection.
On the winning side of Wall Street, Discover Financial Services rose 4.8% for the biggest gain in the S&P 500. The company gave details about a consent order it received from the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, requiring Discover Bank to improve its consumer compliance management system. Analysts pointed to how Discover did not receive a fine, which could be seen as a positive for the stock.
Congress over the weekend avoided a shutdown of the federal government, which threatened to hurt the economy and disrupt the publication of economic data Wall Street finds crucial. But Capitol Hill only temporarily delayed the threat, promising another showdown. Plus, traders are well aware that the stock market has held up rather well through previous shutdowns.
In stock markets abroad, indexes were lower across much of Europe.
In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei 225 slipped 0.3% despite a survey from the central bank that showed business confidence is on the rise.
AP writers Matt Ott and Elaine Kurtenbach contributed to this report.
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