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Putin orders Russian military to start beefing up in 2023

Russian President Vladimir Putin
Russian President Vladimir Putin attends a meeting via teleconference in Moscow on Monday.
(Pavel Byrkin / Kremlin Pool Photo)
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Russian President Vladimir Putin has ordered the Russian military to increase the size of the country’s armed forces by 137,000 amid Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine.

Putin’s decree, which takes effect Jan. 1, didn’t explain whether the military will beef up its ranks by drafting a bigger number of conscripts, increasing the number of volunteer soldiers or using a combination of both.

The presidential decree seeks to boost the number of Russian armed forces’ personnel to 2,039,758 overall, including 1,150,628 service personnel. A previous order put the military’s numbers at 1,902,758 and 1,013,628, respectively, at the start of 2018.

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The Kremlin has said that only volunteer contract soldiers take part in what it calls the “special military operation” in Ukraine, rejecting claims that it was pondering a broad mobilization.

Russian media and nongovernmental organizations say Russian authorities have sought to bolster the number of troops involved in the invasion of Ukraine by attracting more volunteers, engaging private military contractors and even offering amnesty to some prisoners in exchange for a tour of military duty.

All Russian men aged 18-27 must serve one year in the military, but a large share avoid the draft for health reasons or through deferments granted to university students. The share of men who avoid the draft is particularly big in Moscow and other major cities.

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The Russian military rounds up draftees twice a year, during the spring and in the fall. Putin ordered the drafting of 134,500 conscripts during the latest spring draft and 127,500 last fall.

In recent years, the Kremlin has emphasized increasing the share of volunteer contract soldiers as it sought to modernize the army and improve its readiness. Before the Kremlin sent troops into Ukraine, the Russian military had more than 400,000 contract soldiers, including 147,000 in the ground forces. The number of conscripts has been estimated at around 270,000, and officers and non-commissioned officers have accounted for the rest.

Military observers have noted that if the campaign in Ukraine drags on, those numbers could be insufficient to sustain the operations in Ukraine, which has declared its own goal of forming a 1-million-strong military.

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Ret. Col. Viktor Murakhovsky noted that Putin’s decree Thursday reflected the pressure of filling the ranks amid the military action in Ukraine.

In comments carried by the RBC online news outlet, he said that the Kremlin would likely try to keep relying on volunteers and predicted that they would account for the bulk of the increase ordered by the Kremlin.

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