‘Walking away’: A real trend or suburban myth?

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Both the New York Times and the Los Angeles Times are out today with lengthy stories questioning whether the much-discussed ‘walking away’ trend -- you might also call it voluntary foreclosure -- is a real event or a suburban myth. Both stories conclude that there is no good evidence to support the notion that more and more homeowners are making an economic decision to give up on their homes without a fight.

The L.A. Times’ Michael Hiltzik: ‘At Fannie Mae, the government-chartered company that owns or guarantees billions of dollars in home mortgages, Senior Vice President Marianne Sullivan conceded that there was growing ‘folklore’ about residential walkaways but said that the phenomenon was more likely connected to investors than people who live in their homes, or ‘owner-occupants.’ ... ‘The vast majority of borrowers we find have been acting in good faith,’ she said. ‘If they get behind, they are interested in working with their lender.’ ‘

The New York Times’ Vikas Bajaj: ‘The blogosphere is full of tales of homeowners who supposedly are choosing to mail the house keys to their lenders rather than keep their depreciating homes. And yet ‘jingle mail,’ the term for those tinkling packages of keys, appears to be far rarer than many seem to think. Freddie Mac, the big government-sponsored mortgage company, estimates that just 0.14 percent of the defaulted mortgages in its portfolio involved properties that were abandoned by borrowers.’

Analysis: Agreed, there are no good data indicating that walking away is a real trend. But: Banks and lenders have established that they are clueless when it comes to understanding the people they lent money to, the true economic condition of those borrowers and the real reasons some of them stop paying their mortgages. In many cases, borrowers go into foreclosure without ever having a conversation with their lender. In those cases, the borrower’s financial condition, and calculations, are a mystery. In short, it’s not clear that lenders are a particularly reliable source on the issue of why some homeowners go into foreclosure.

Your thoughts? Is ‘jingle mail’ real, or is it a suburban myth? E-mail story tips to peter.viles@latimes.com.