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Opinion: Be very careful when you see these New Hampshire polls

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There’s a new poll out in the Granite State done by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.

We can expect to see a lot more of these in the coming weeks as the intensity of campaigning and interest grows for the expected Jan. 8 primary.

This one shows Hillary Clinton leading Democrats with 35%, Barack Obama with 21%, John Edwards with 15%, Bill Richardson with 10% and all the others in a single-digit bunch. For the Republicans, it shows Mitt Romney in the lead with 32%, Rudy Giuliani second with 20%, John McCain third with 17%, a surging Ron Paul with lots of money up from 2% to 7%, Mike Huckabee at 5% and all the others, including Fred Thompson, below that.

But that’s not the most important data in this survey.

What’s most important is the little-noticed numbers revealing that with slightly less than two months to go before the voting, 48% of Democrats and fully 60% of Republicans remain undecided.

Now that’s a volatile setting, just made for stunning surprises in the nation’s first primary vote.

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--Andrew Malcolm


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