Opinion: Hillary Clinton breaking away in one final Pennsylvania poll


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At least one poll that had shown Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama in a true horse race in Pennsylvania as recently as late last week reported a clear trend toward Clinton as primary day finally arrived.

The Newsmax/Zogby daily telephone tracking poll gave Clinton a mere 1 percentage-point lead in results released last Wednesday (a smaller margin than any other survey gave her, though some others also had it close), and figures released Saturday had Clinton up by three points.


But that margin jumped to six points as of Sunday, and surged to 10 points as of Monday. The precise numbers: Clinton 51%, Obama 41%.

Here’s pollster John Zogby’s quick take on what he sees at work: ‘Sounds like a radio station’s call letters, but remember WECM -– white, ethnic, Catholic men. That is what put Clinton into her double-digit lead here in Pennsylvania.’

Zogby, like many in his business, has had a mixed record in forecasting outcomes in this year’s Democratic race. But if he’s right on this one, the Clinton camp should get the fresh jolt of momentum that it has been seeking from Pennsylvania voters.

-- Don Frederick