Outward Calm Masks the Emirates’ Jitters

The idea had been to sound the civil defense sirens to demonstrate that this tiny Persian Gulf emirate was at least prepared for the possibility of a gas attack by Iraq. But at the appointed hour, there was nothing but silence.

Fire Chief John Clitherow admitted later that there had been some “technical difficulties” but promised to keep up the testing in the next two days “to improve the coverage.”

With the nearing of the U.N. deadline for Iraq’s withdrawal from Kuwait, the sheikdoms that dot the gulf are trying to maintain an outward calm despite increasing jitters about what the outcome will be.

For example, in Dubai, one of the United Arab Emirates, an American resident said that U.S. companies began shipping home workers and their families only after major airlines started announcing that they would stop flying to the area. The Dutch airline KLM and Hong Kong-based Cathay Pacific were just two of the carriers to halt their flights on Friday after war-risk insurance rates were vastly increased.

In contrast, Air India announced that it was increasing its flights and the size of its aircraft to the gulf to accommodate an exodus by the 400,000-strong Indian community. “Under the present situation, there is a guaranteed loss on each flight even at full load,” said Air India’s regional director, Michael Mascarenhas. “But we will maintain our normal operations unless airspace is closed.”

Bahrain, the island emirate just off the Saudi Arabian port of Dhahran, is fairly close to possible combat between Iraq and U.S.-led forces, and many air carriers have halted their flights to the island.

British Airways laid on an extra Boeing 747 flight Sunday night but cancelled its regularly scheduled Tuesday night flight to London. Gulf Air, an airline owned jointly by Bahrain, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates, has been overbooked on every flight out of the country leading up to the U.N. deadline, which falls at 8 a.m. Wednesday in the Persian Gulf region.

“I think with the expatriates leaving, it reduces the element of panic,” said Tarik Moyyad, Bahrain’s minister of information. “The people of Bahrain can’t go away forever, and 90% of Bahrainis have stayed. Confidence is very high.”

Moyyad said the country had begun round-the-clock radio broadcasting three weeks ago to keep citizens informed and was increasing the number of news shows and programs about civil defense.

“The majority of the people know that the elements of danger are not great,” he said.

A Bahraini Education Ministry official announced, however, that schools will be closed from Wednesday until Feb. 9.

There was no panic buying of food or gasoline. With a huge American and British military presence in Bahrain, Qatar and Dubai, people appeared to be taking solace from the huge defensive umbrella offered by the presence of warplanes and navy ships.

An informal survey of shopkeepers and taxi drivers suggested that most Bahrainis still don’t believe that war will take place. “Saddam Hussein is no fool,” said one taxi driver. “He knows you cannot beat the Americans. He will not fight.”

Bahrain’s hotels are jammed with American military personnel dressed in civvies. Dubai’s hotels are suffering the loss of a tourism season, but a last-minute wave of arrivals by journalists who couldn’t get into Saudi Arabia was beginning to fill rooms there as well.