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BELFAST : Bellwether Ulster Vote

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The first parliamentary by-election in Northern Ireland since last September’s cease-fire will be take place Thursday in North Down and will serve as a barometer of attitudes about the peace process in the British province.

Northern Ireland lawyer Bob McCartney, 59, is favored to take the House of Commons seat. He is running as an independent unionist in opposition to the historic peace framework document presented by the British and Irish governments as a formula to end the long decades of confrontation in Ulster between unionists and the Irish Republican Army.

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