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Get Ready for a New Breed of of Equipment

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TIMES STAFF WRITER

Some people are so attached to the Internet that it’s difficult for them to leave it behind when they leave their desks.

Soon they may not have to.

A new class of devices that combine the features of mobile phones and portable computers promises to make wireless data connections as commonplace as cell phone conversations.

“Smart” phones will be used to answer electronic mail messages in addition to voice calls. Palmtop PCs and personal digital assistants (PDAs) will be able to read Web pages as easily as computerized schedules and to-do lists. Other products are being developed to fill niches in between.

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These devices’ wireless data connections won’t be restricted to the Internet. Mobile professionals will be able to dial into their corporate networks from the road, and traveling salespeople can use the gadgets to check inventory back at the warehouse. Some enthusiasts will subscribe to private services that use wireless networks to transmit stock quotes, sports scores, weather reports and even horoscopes.

But industry analysts, executives and engineers agree that the Internet--especially e-mail--is driving the cross-pollination of phones and computers.

“The Internet is the killer app for wireless data,” said David Christopher, the product manager in charge of the forthcoming Palm VII hybrid at 3Com’s Palm Computing unit.

By 2002, nearly 12.6 million U.S. consumers--including 1.3 million Californians--will be spending more than $5 billion to connect devices such as the Palm VII to invisible phone networks, according to Telecompetition, a market research firm in San Ramon, Calif. That’s four times the number of people who used wireless data networks last year, according to the firm.

Why such rapid growth? Plenty of players have an interest in propelling this fledgling industry.

For wireless phone companies, the new breed of products means more minutes of network use and therefore more revenue. Consumer electronics makers will create more devices to sell, and software companies will write code to run them. Other firms are springing up to supply content for the gadgets.

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And for consumers, the blending of mobile phones and PCs means it’s easier to stay in constant contact with their data.

“It doesn’t matter if you’re a business person or an average consumer--everyone’s mobile,” said General Magic Chief Executive Steve Markman, whose Sunnyvale, Calif., company makes virtual assistant software. “They’ve all got to be able to get access to key information and messages wherever they are.”

The big question is what kind of device they will use to retrieve those messages. Few envision all-in-one offerings--like the Nokia 9000 Communicator--becoming popular because they are seen as too bulky and expensive.

“You just wind up compromising tons of functionality when you try to build it into one device,” said Warren Allen, senior product planner for Toshiba in Irvine, one of five companies developing a wireless data standard called Bluetooth. “You get all sorts of users saying, ‘I wish they had saved me $100 by leaving out this thing that I’m never going to use.’ ”

Nokia says plenty of its customers are willing to carry a bigger device with a full keyboard that can perform many of the functions of a mobile office, including faxing, e-mail and scheduling. Technological improvements will allow the company to produce a smaller, lighter Communicator without giving up any functionality, said Haroon Alvi, director of business development for Nokia Mobile Phones in Irving, Texas.

But others, such as Andy Seybold, chairman of the Portable computer and Communications Assn. in Boulder Creek, Calif., insist that combination devices tend not to be as popular with consumers as application-specific products.

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“The only combination device the American public has bought in great numbers is the clock radio,” Seybold said.

Instead, the market will be dominated by data-centric communicators that have some voice capabilities and voice-centric smart phones that have some data capabilities, said Alasdair Manson, director of evangelism for Symbian, a London-based joint venture of mobile phone giants Ericsson, Motorola and Nokia and portable PC maker Psion.

On the communicator side, the most widely anticipated product is 3Com’s Palm VII. The device, currently in field trials, will combine the functions of a standard Palm hand-held organizer with a wireless connection for Web and intranet access and two-way messaging. The product is expected to launch later this year with a price tag of less than $800, Christopher said.

Meanwhile, computer features have been creeping into mobile phones since wireless carriers switched on their digital networks. Soon those features will turn phones into portable Internet terminals.

San Diego-based Qualcomm has licensed the Palm software and will incorporate into its pdQ smart phone, due out by summer. Nextel and Motorola are teaming up with Silicon Valley software firms Netscape and Unwired Planet to make Internet-ready phones as well.

Start-ups are jumping in too. IGS, a San Diego company founded by Qualcomm alumnus William Son, developed NeoPoint, a 6-ounce mobile phone with an enlarged screen for text messages and voice-activated Web surfing. The phone can dock with a PC to upload or download phone numbers and other data. NeoPoint phones will be available later this year for $299, Son said.

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Since the hybrid devices are starting to resemble computers, it’s no surprise that Microsoft is targeting the market. Its Windows CE operating system is already used in some hand-held PCs, and the company founded Wireless Knowledge in San Diego with Qualcomm to create software specifically for the new class of products.

Plenty of others, including Symbian and Unwired Planet, are creating their own software in an effort to prevent Microsoft from extending its dominance into wireless data. The Bluetooth consortium is even developing a new hardware and software system that would allow portable computers and PDAs to link to wireless phone networks via radio connections to cellular phones.

Over the next five years, mobile data devices will become lighter and faster, with bigger screens and longer-lasting batteries, analysts and executives said. Some, like NeoPoint, will also incorporate smart agent technology.

“It knows it’s your significant other’s birthday, it knows he likes John Grisham, and it knows a new Grisham book just came out,” said Son, describing a typical scenario. “It will know there are 10 copies at Barnes & Noble, and it will give you directions to get there.”

The core technology for the hybrid devices is already here, said Mark Desautels, managing director of the Wireless Data Forum in Washington.

“Much of it sounds futuristic when in fact it’s already being done,” Desautels said. “There aren’t many applications you can think of that today’s equipment can’t do.”

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Times staff writer Karen Kaplan can be reached via e-mail at karen.kaplan@latimes.com.

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Coming Un-Wired

Mobile phones and portable computers are merging into a wireless data market that analysts project will top $5 billion by 2002, according to market research firm Telecompetition. This growing segment of the total wireless market is expected to see its customer base quadruple between 1998 and 2002. More than one in 10 wireless data customers are expected to come from California. Number of people subscribing to a wireless data service, in thousands:

Region: Los Angeles/O.C./Ventura/Riverside/San bernardino

1998: 157

1999: 233

2000: 325

2001: 457

2002: 639

Region: San Francisco/Oakliand/San Jose

1998: 81

1999: 120

2000: 167

2001: 235

2002: 329

Region: San Diego

1998: 26

1999: 39

2000: 54

2001: 75

2002: 106

Region: California

1998: 328

1999: 487

2000: 678

2001: 953

2002: 1,334

Region: Total U.S.

1998: 3,100

1999: 4,600

2000: 6,400

2001: 9,000

2002: 12,590

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Source: Telecompetition Inc.

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