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Times California exit poll results

Data from the Los Angeles Times exit poll show how various groups of California voters cast their ballots in Tuesday’s election. The columns of percentages under the races read horizontally. For example, of all men who voted for president, 45% voted for President Bush and 53% voted for John F. Kerry.

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For the record:

12:00 AM, Nov. 05, 2004 For The Record
Los Angeles Times Friday November 05, 2004 Home Edition Main News Part A Page 2 National Desk 1 inches; 49 words Type of Material: Correction
Exit poll results -- In graphics showing Los Angeles Times exit poll results in Thursday’s A and California sections, a footnote said precincts were chosen for polling based on the pattern of turnout in past primary elections. The precincts were chosen based on turnout patterns in past general elections.

*--* % of all President U.S. Senate voters Bush Kerry Boxer Jones All voters 100% 44% 55 58% 38 Gender Men 48% 45% 53 55% 41 Women 52 42% 57 62% 34 Age 18-29 20% 38% 61 63% 30 30-44 29 44% 54 56% 39 45-64 39 47% 52 56% 41 65 or older 12 42% 57 63% 35 Race/ethnicity White 65% 52% 47 51% 45 Black 7 14% 84 83% 13 Latino 14 31% 68 71% 23 Asian 9 35% 64 66% 29 Education Less than college 43% 49% 50 54% 42 College degree or more 57 40% 59 61% 35 Annual family income Less than $20,000 8% 32% 66 69% 25 $20,000 to $39,999 15 40% 59 62% 34 $40,000 to $59,999 18 42% 56 56% 39 $60,000 to $74,999 17 46% 53 57% 40 $75,000 or more 42 48% 51 55% 41 Political ideology Liberal 36% 12% 87 87% 8 Moderate 26 38% 61 65% 30 Conservative 38 79% 20 26% 71 Party affiliation Democrats 45% 7% 92 93% 4 Independents 15 41% 56 56% 37 Republicans 37 91% 8 16% 81 Party ideology Liberal Democrats 27% 3% 97 95% 2 Moderate and conservative Democrats 19 14% 86 91% 6 Liberal and moderate independents 10 27% 70 70% 23 Conservative independents 5 73% 25 29% 66 Liberal and moderate Republicans 11 83% 16 26% 68 Conservative Republicans 26 95% 5 10% 88 Voting status First-time voter 11% 40% 59 63% 31 Voted before 89 45% 54 57% 39 Union/non-union households Union households 31% 39% 60 63% 33 Non-union households 69 46% 53 56% 40 Religion Protestant 46% 59% 40 43% 53 Catholic 25 41% 59 64% 32 Jewish 5 20% 80 87% 12% Region L.A. County 25% 38% 61 64% 31 Rest of Southern CA 33 49% 50 54% 43 Bay Area 13 29% 69 69% 26 Rest of Northern CA 29 51% 48 52% 43

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*--* Prop. 68 Prop. 70 (Non-Indian casino gambling) (Ind. gambling Yes No Yes No All voters 16% 84 24% 76 Gender Men 18% 82 25% 75 Women 14% 86 23% 77 Age 18-29 20% 80 31% 69 30-44 17% 83 23% 77 45-64 13% 87 22% 78 65 or older 18% 82 21% 79 Race/ ethnicity White 13% 87 18% 82 Black 25% 75 43% 57 Latino 23% 77 35% 65 Asian 28% 72 30% 70 Education Less than college 19% 81 29% 71 College degree or more 14% 86 20% 80 Annual family income Less than $20,000 28% 72 44% 56 $20,000 to $39,999 22% 78 29% 71 $40,000 to $59,999 18% 82 25% 75 $60,000 to $74,999 13% 87 21% 79 $75,000 or more 12% 88 20% 80 Political ideology Liberal 19% 81 28% 72 Moderate 17% 83 27% 73 Conservative 13% 87 19% 81 Party affiliation Democrats 20% 80 30% 70 Independents 17% 83 27% 73 Republicans 11% 89 16% 84 Party ideology Liberal Democrats 19% 81 29% 71 Moderate and conservative Democrats 21% 79 33% 67 Liberal and moderate independents 18% 82 29% 71 Conservative independents 14% 86 25% 75 Liberal and moderate Republicans 13% 87 21% 79 Conservative Republicans 10% 90 13% 87 Voting status First-time voter 24% 76 37% 63 Voted before 15% 85 23% 77 Union/non-union households Union 15% 85 24% 76 Non-union 16% 84 24% 76 Religion Protestant 15% 85 21% 79 Catholic 17% 83 28% 72 Jewish 15% 85 23% 77 Region L.A. County 19% 81 27% 73 Rest of So. CA 17% 83 24% 76 Bay Area 18% 82 26% 74 Rest of No. CA 12% 88 20% 80

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*--* Prop. 71 Prop. 72 (Stem cell research) (Health ins.) Yes No Yes No All voters 59% 41 49% 51 Gender Men 60% 40 46% 54 Women 59% 41 52% 48 Age 18-29 64% 36 64% 36 30-44 58% 42 48% 52 45-64 56% 44 44% 56 65 or older 62% 38 42% 58 Race/ ethnicity White 56% 44 42% 58 Black 68% 32 75% 25 Latino 61% 39 64% 36 Asian 72% 28 59% 41 Education Less than college 56% 44 49% 51 College degree or more 61% 39 49% 51 Annual family income Less than $20,000 64% 36 65% 35 $20,000 to $39,999 55% 45 59% 41 $40,000 to $59,999 58% 42 52% 48 $60,000 to $74,999 58% 42 44% 56 $75,000 or more 60% 40 43% 57 Political ideology Liberal 78% 22 70% 30 Moderate 66% 34 53% 47 Conservative 35% 65 26% 74 Party affiliation Democrats 77% 23 72% 28 Independents 61% 39 49% 51 Republicans 37% 63 21% 79 Party ideology Liberal Democrats 81% 19 75% 25 Moderate and conservative Democrats 71% 29 67% 33 Liberal and moderate independents 70% 30 56% 44 Conservative independents 40% 60 32% 68 Liberal and moderate Republicans 56% 44 34% 66 Conservative Republicans 28% 72 15% 85 Voting status First-time voter 61% 39 65% 35 Voted before 58% 42 47% 53 Union/non-union households Union 60% 40 55% 45 Non-union 59% 41 46% 54 Religion Protestant 47% 53 39% 61 Catholic 61% 39 55% 45 Jewish 77% 23 63% 37 Region L.A. County 65% 35 53% 47 Rest of So. CA 57% 43 44% 56 Bay Area 68% 32 60% 40 Rest of No. CA 52% 48 46% 54

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How the poll was conducted: The Los Angeles Times Poll interviewed 3,357 California voters as they exited 50 polling places across the state. Precincts were chosen based on the pattern of turnout in past primary elections. The survey was a self-administered, confidential questionnaire, in English and in Spanish. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points for all voters. For some subgroups, the error margin may be somewhat higher. Fieldwork provided by Schlesinger Associates of Edison, N.J. and Davis Research of Calabasas.

Note: numbers may not add up to 100% where some answer categories are not shown.

Source: Times Poll

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