Oscarologist picks: Tom O’Neil
We gathered TheEnvelope.com’s Oscar gurus to ask them about their picks for this year’s awards. As it turns out, there was a surprising amount of agreement among the three, with all giving the best director and picture nods to Danny Boyle and “Slumdog Millionaire” (“Doubt,” “Frost/Nixon” and “The Reader” split the small-movie vote, says Pete Hammond, with “Benjamin Button” coming in second). Here is a sampling of their other picks.
These predictions are 100% accurate -- except where they’re wrong, so, please don’t bet your ranch.
Heavyweight match: The wrestler vs. the gay-rights slugger. Mickey Rourke gives a more muscular performance, but he gets crushed by Sean Penn, who portrays a real person in an important story about an ongoing issue.
Kate Winslet triumphs because she has a foreign accent in a movie in which she ages, she’s naked and it’s about the Holocaust. Who can beat that? Well, maybe Mother Superior Meryl Streep, but Kate’s overdue.
Penelope Cruz snagged most early awards and she’s in a Woody Allen flick (his actors have won this category three times). But here is where most upsets occur. Watch out for Viola Davis.
Best pic champs usually claim a screenplay prize, so “Slumdog” it is. Based on an F. Scott Fitzgerald story, “Button” could upset but the film strayed far from its source.