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Stocks edge higher after data point to a cooling labor market

A pair of traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange
The market got a boost early on from a closely watched government report that showed U.S. job growth increased at a healthy but more moderate pace last month.
(Richard Drew / Associated Press)
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A choppy day of trading on Wall Street ended Friday with slight gains for stocks, as the market notched its second straight winning week.

The market got a boost early on from a closely watched government report that showed U.S. job growth increased at a healthy but more moderate pace last month. The report supports investors’ hopes that the Federal Reserve will hold off on raising interest rates again even as it seeks to lower inflation.

After initially rising as much as 0.8% after the release of the jobs report, the major indexes shed most of their gains and spent the day wavering between small gains and losses.

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The Standard & Poor’s 500 finished 0.2% higher. The benchmark index was coming off its first monthly loss since February. The Dow Jones industrial average rose 0.3% and the Nasdaq composite closed less than 0.1% lower. Still, that slight dip broke its five-day winning streak.

The Labor Department reported Friday that employers added a solid 187,000 jobs in August. The job growth marked an increase from July’s revised gain of 157,000 but still pointed to a moderating pace of hiring compared with earlier this year. From June through August, the economy added 449,000 jobs, the lowest three-month total in three years.

The nation’s employers added a healthy 187,000 jobs in August in a sign of a still-resilient labor market despite the high interest rates the Federal Reserve has imposed.

Sept. 1, 2023

The report also showed that the unemployment rate rose from 3.5% to 3.8%, the highest level since February 2022, though still low by historical standards.

Wall Street welcomed the latest monthly labor market snapshot as it roots for the economy to show signs of lower inflation and cooling job growth so that the Fed will be able to ease up on its rate hike campaign.

“Today’s employment report will add to recent data which indicates the Fed can pause on raising interest rates,” said Steve Wyett, chief investment strategist of BOK Financial.

The strong job market, along with consumer spending, has so far helped thwart a recession that analysts expected at some point in 2023. But those conditions also made the central bank’s task of taming inflation more difficult by fueling wage and price increases.

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Americans increased their purchases at retailers last month in a sign that solid consumer spending is still powering a resilient U.S. economy.

Aug. 15, 2023

“From a data-dependent Fed perspective, the economic data we have seen in August in conjunction with today’s jobs report certainly reinforces the idea that we have seen the last rate hike during this cycle,” said Charlie Ripley, senior investment strategist for Allianz Investment Management.

The central bank has raised its main interest rate aggressively since 2022 to the highest level since 2001. The goal has been to rein inflation back to the Fed’s target of 2%. The Fed has maintained that it is ready to keep raising interest rates if it has to, but will base its next moves on the latest economic data.

Bond yields mostly rose Friday. The yield on the two-year Treasury, which tracks expectations for the Fed, got as high as 4.91% at one point but fell to 4.88% by late afternoon. It was at 4.87% late Thursday. The yield on the 10-year Treasury, which influences interest rates on mortgages and other consumer loans, rose to 4.17% from 4.11%.

Despite more than a year of widespread warnings that a recession was near, America’s economy is, if anything, accelerating.

July 29, 2023

Rising oil prices helped push energy stocks higher. Exxon Mobil rose 2.1% and Chevron was up 2%.

The price of U.S. crude oil climbed 2.3%, extending its weekly gain to 7.3%. The increase comes as production cuts by major producers continue to prop up the market. Many industry analysts are expecting Saudi Arabia to extend those cuts through October.

Communications stocks were among the laggards. Disney dropped 2.4% after the entertainment giant pulled its programming, including ESPN, from Charter Communications’ Spectrum TV after the companies failed to come to terms on a new distribution deal. Charter was down 3.6%.

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Walgreens Boots Alliance fell 7.4% after the company announced that Chief Executive Rosalind Brewer was stepping down at the end of the month and that Ginger Graham would take over as interim CEO.

All told, the S&P 500 rose 8.11 points to 4,515.77 on Friday. The Dow gained 115.80 points to close at 34,837.71, and the Nasdaq slipped 3.15 points to 14,031.81.

U.S. markets will be closed Monday for Labor Day.

AP writers Yuri Kageyama and Matt Ott contributed to this report.

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