From 'Get Out' to 'Phantom Thread': The 2018 Oscars Buzzmeter
By Los Angeles Times Staff
Feb 27, 2018 | 1:45 PM
It’s that time of year again when the multiplexes are crowded with prestige movies hoping to keep building that all-important buzz on the way to the 90th Oscars ceremony at the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles on March 4.
Here, our Buzzmeter panelists -- six of the most qualified Oscar pundits, film writers and critics – predict which of the nominated movies and performers will come out on top at this year's Oscar race. The winners won’t be revealed until March 4, so check back often to see who’s up and who’s down on the Buzzmeter.
Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Nicole Sperling (Vanity Fair), Anne Thompson (Indiewire), Glenn Whipp (The Envelope), Justin Chang (L.A. Times), Kenneth Turan (L.A. Times)
Here are their picks in the key categories, with the top vote-getters highlighted in red:
Best picture | "The Shape of Water"
“‘Lady Bird’ is an out-on-a-limb hunch based on two things: The academy has split on picture and director four times in the last five years, and I expect it to kill on the preferential ballot.”
"The Shape of Water": Turan, Whipp, Thompson, Sperling
"Lady Bird": Chang
"Call Me By Your Name"
Best director | Guillermo del Toro
“Voters have consistently rewarded wildly imaginative and ambitious work in this race. It would be a jaw dropper if Guillermo del Toro didn’t win.”
Guillermo del Toro, “The Shape of Water”: Chang, Turan, Whipp, Thompson, Sperling, O'Neil
Christopher Nolan, “Dunkirk”
Jordan Peele, “Get Out"
Greta Gerwig, “Lady Bird”
Best actor | Gary Oldman
“With only his second career nomination, Gary Oldman will take the win for his impossibly great incarnation of an all-too familiar leader, Winston Churchill. On the outside: young Timothee Chalamet, who is likely to return to Oscar contention many times over.”
— Anne Thompson
Gary Oldman, "Darkest Hour": Chang, Turan, Whipp, Thompson, Sperling, O'Neil
Daniel Day-Lewis, "Phantom Thread":
Timothee Chalamet, "Call Me By Your Name":
Denzel Washington, "Roman J. Israel, Esq.":
Daniel Kaluuya, "Get Out":
Best actress | Frances McDormand, "Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri"
“Frances McDormand is the front-runner even without campaigning. But the fact that she is showing up and graciously accepting her prizes suggests there is no way she can lose.”