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NATO freezes Cold War-era treaty after Russia pulls out, raising fears of arms race

Russian President Vladimir Putin
Russian President Vladimir Putin blamed his decision to pull out of a Cold War-era arms treaty in part on NATO expansion.
(Gavriil Grigorov / Kremlin Pool Photo)
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NATO member countries that signed a key Cold War-era security treaty froze their participation in the pact Tuesday just hours after Russia pulled out, raising fresh questions about the future of arms control agreements in Europe.

Many of NATO’s 31 allies are parties to the Treaty of Conventional Armed Forces in Europe, which was aimed at preventing Cold War rivals from massing forces at or near their common borders. The CFE was signed in November 1990 as the Soviet bloc was crumbling but was not fully ratified until two years later.

NATO said that Tuesday’s move by its signatory members to suspend participation was required because “a situation whereby Allied State Parties abide by the Treaty, while Russia does not, would be unsustainable.”

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Earlier in the day, Moscow said it had finalized its withdrawal from the treaty. The long-expected move, which the Kremlin blamed in part on NATO’s continued expansion closer to Russia’s borders, came after lawmakers in Moscow approved a bill proposed by President Vladimir Putin denouncing the CFE.

U.S. national security advisor Jake Sullivan said suspending the obligations by Washington and its allies would strengthen NATO’s “deterrence and defense capacity by removing restrictions that impact planning, deployments, and exercises — restrictions that no longer bind Russia after Moscow’s withdrawal.”

Russia’s action “further demonstrates Moscow’s continued disregard for arms control,” he added.

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The German Foreign Ministry underscored that Berlin and its allies were not pulling out of the treaty. “In the case of a fundamental change in Russia’s behavior, a renewed implementation of the CFE remains possible,” the ministry said.

It said Germany intended to stick to the national limits for weapons systems in the treaty. It criticized Moscow’s withdrawal, saying that “Russia is destroying another pillar of our European security and arms control architecture.”

“Securing a balanced conventional potential of forces in Europe cannot be realized without the involvement of Russia,” it added.

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The treaty was one of a number of major arms control treaties involving Russia and the U.S. that has been crippled in recent years.

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Last week, Putin signed a bill revoking Russia’s ratification of the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty, a move that he said was needed to establish parity with the United States, which never ratified the pact.

In February, with U.S.-Russia tensions running high over Ukraine, Moscow suspended its participation in the New START Treaty, the last arms control pact that remains between the two countries.

Both countries also pulled out of the 1987 Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces Treaty in 2019, blaming each other for violations.

The INF Treaty, which was signed by President Reagan and Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev, banned the production, testing and deployment of land-based cruise and ballistic missiles with a range of 310 to 3,410 miles.

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William Alberque, director of Strategy, Technology and Arms Control at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, expressed concern that another arms control treaty is under threat.

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“What is needed right now is more transparency, more risk-reduction, more what we would call guardrails on competition,” he said. “We basically need to manage the competition so that it doesn’t spiral into crippling arms races.”

When it was signed, the CFE envisaged weapons limits for Warsaw Pact and NATO nations, but the Warsaw Pact ceased to exist shortly after it was signed. Unsuccessful attempts were made to renegotiate its conditions.

Russia suspended its participation in 2007, and in 2015 announced its intention to completely withdraw.

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In February 2022, Putin sent hundreds of thousands of Russian troops into Ukraine, which also shares borders with NATO members that signed the CFE: Poland, Romania and Hungary.

Announcing that Moscow’s withdrawal from the treaty had been completed, the Russian Foreign Ministry blamed the U.S. and its allies for the move as well as the West’s allegedly “destructive position” on the treaty.

“We left the door open for a dialogue on ways to restore the viability of conventional arms control in Europe,” it said. “However, our opponents did not take advantage of this opportunity.”

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The ministry said that “even the formal preservation” of the treaty had become “unacceptable from the point of view of Russia’s fundamental security interests,” citing developments in Ukraine and NATO’s recent expansion.

NATO said its members remained committed “to reduce military risk, and prevent misperceptions and conflicts.” It said the alliance would continue to “consult on and assess the implications of the current security environment and its impact on the security” of the Euro-Atlantic region.

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