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Stocks fluctuate ahead of manufacturing data

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Not even the threat of a global flu pandemic could knock the world’s stock markets out of their bullish trajectories this week.

U.S. blue-chip indexes rose for the seventh week in the last eight. Indexes of some market sectors made it a full eight weeks up in a row.

“With everything that’s been thrown at the market, we think it’s holding up well,” said Ryan Detrick, an analyst at Schaeffer’s Investment Research in Cincinnati.

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Wall Street’s bears insist that stocks are overdue for a sharp pullback, but modest setbacks this week just attracted more buyers. That’s what the bulls have been hoping to see.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 index fell 1% on Monday and 0.3% on Tuesday, then jumped 2.2% on Wednesday. After easing 0.1% on Thursday, the S&P; gained 0.5% on Friday to close at 877.52 -- its highest since Jan. 9. The S&P;’s net gain for the week: 1.3%.

The Dow Jones industrials added 44.29 points, or 0.5%, to 8,212.41 on Friday, its first close above 8,200 since Feb. 9. The Dow was up 1.7% for the week.

Investors continue to get bigger bangs for their bucks in smaller stocks. The S&P; small-cap index rose 1.9% for the week, its eighth straight weekly advance.

From their lows on March 9, the S&P; small-cap is up 43% while the S&P; 500 is up 30%.

Market optimists continue to latch on to reports that show the economy has stopped getting worse, even if it isn’t getting notably better.

On Friday, bulls were stoked by a jump in a key consumer confidence index to its highest reading since September. Also, a gauge of U.S. manufacturing activity posted a bigger-than-expected gain in April.

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Such reports are driving some investors out of relatively safe government bonds and into stocks. The increased demand for Treasuries pushed up the yield on the benchmark 10-year T-note Friday to 3.17%, its highest close since Nov. 24.

Importantly, U.S. stocks aren’t rising in a vacuum: The rally, like the new flu, remains a global affair. Japan’s Nikkei-225 index jumped 3.1% for the week, Germany’s DAX index was up 2% and Brazil’s Bovespa index rose 1.1%.

So if American investors are wrong about the global recession bottoming -- and about the flu’s economic effect ultimately being modest -- they have a lot of company.

In other market highlights Friday:

* MasterCard fell 5.8% after saying its first-quarter revenue fell short of expectations.

* Insurers MetLife and Hartford Financial Services Group posted first-quarter losses. Both stocks sank almost 8%.

* McAfee surged 7.8% after the computer security company reported a 77% jump in profit.

* About two stocks rose for every one that fell on the New York Stock Exchange.

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tom.petruno@latimes.com

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