The relative comity of the race for the Democratic nomination for president was interrupted last week with an unexpectedly sharp attack video aimed in an unexpected direction.
That the first direct attack of the Democratic primary would focus on guns – a second-tier issue -- and Sanders – a long-shot candidate – would have been hard to predict in a race dominated by front-runner
"It is clear that Bernie Sanders is the most interesting character in the Democratic nomination play at the moment," said Jamal Simmons, a Democratic strategist.
It's also clear how Sanders became the hot target. Fueled by his unpolished appeal and unvarnished attacks on moneyed interests on Wall Street and in Washington, the Sanders campaign is gaining ground – particularly in all-important New Hampshire, where the Vermont senator is a well-known figure. A CNN/WMUR poll released last week found Sanders within 8 percentage points of Clinton. Although Sanders remains a distant challenger in other early-voting states, his status as the progressives' protest to the Clinton candidacy is firming up – and the famously cautious Clinton appears unlikely to rely simply on her front-runner status to keep his challenge at bay.
Sanders has begun to take hits on three major themes -- gun control, where his record veers some from Democratic party line, his support among African Americans and Latinos, and his broader viability among voters in the general election.
Along with the O’Malley backers’ broadside on guns, a close Clinton ally last week labeled Sanders’ views “extreme.” A fellow Democratic senator,
"He's against trade – he's against a whole lot of things that are unrealistic in this day and age," McCaskill insisted.
The Clinton campaign has not launched any direct attacks on Sanders and largely has stuck to a message heavy on the sort of economic policies the campaign hopes will appease progressives – voting reforms, tax hikes on the wealthy, raising the minimum wage and expanded public preschool.
But where Clinton has veered from that script, she has hit issues that strike a contrast to Sanders. In her response to the shooting two weeks ago at a black church in Charleston, S.C., she called for tougher gun laws and noted her husband's passage of a now-expired ban on assault weapons. Clinton went to a black church near Ferguson, Mo., last week and demanded "common-sense gun reforms that keep our communities safe" as she said more should be done to increase respect on both sides between communities and law enforcement.
Sanders' campaign has taken a different approach, emphasizing the racist motivations of the shooting suspect in Charleston over the role of stronger gun regulations.
"He's happy to have that discussion," said Jeff Weaver, Sanders campaign manager, of Clinton's comments. "But at the end of the day, it's not clear how gun control would have prevented this particular attack. What would have prevented this attack would have been this young man not having this racist hatred in his heart."
On Sunday, Sanders argued he had a strong record supporting tougher gun laws – particularly because he comes from a rural state where many hunters are suspect of new gun regulations.
Sanders’ reputation as soft on guns comes in part from his vote against the 1993 Brady Bill, which created mandatory background checks for gun buyers in many sales. Then a member of the House, Sanders argued that it was a matter that should be left to the states. Sanders also voted for the 2005 Protection of Lawful Commerce in Arms Act, a
But Sanders also has voted in favor of a ban on assault weapons and high-capacity magazines. And in 2013, in the wake of the Sandy Hook school massacre, he supported the amendment that would have expanded background checks to all gun sales in a commercial setting, closing what's known as the gun show loophole. That measure fell short of passage.
Sanders argued in an interview on ABC News' "This Week" that his record showed an understanding of how gun issues play in rural America and would make him a better leader on the effort.
"If we are finally going to have any serious success, what we need to do is bridge this cultural divide between rural America -- and I represent the very rural state -- and urban America and come up with some common-sense legislation which includes everything that I've just voted for and maybe more," he said. "But one thing we can't have, we can't have people demagoguing against folks just because they go out and hunt and they own guns. On the other hand, rural America has got to understand that guns in Vermont are not the same thing as guns in Chicago where they're used to kill kids or shoot at police officers."
Whether guns will emerge as the damaging weakness in Sanders' case to progressives is unclear.
Former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean faced similar questions during his bid for the Democratic nomination in the 2004 election. Dean also opposed some tougher gun laws then, breaking from his party. He says he was asked repeatedly about his positions on the campaign trail, but doesn't remember it playing much of a role in his eventual defeat.
Sanders' bigger challenge will be showing he can connect with African American and Latino voters, Dean noted. Coming from the overwhelmingly white Vermont, it's likely new territory for the senator.
"Bernie's coalition is very broad. It is the Ben and Jerry set, but it's also white, working-class voters who feel nobody speak for them," Dean said. "The only electorate Bernie's not been tried against is the electorate of color."
Sanders will have to show that he can persuade those voters that they share his economic populism. "That's his steep learning curve," Dean said.
Dean, who backs Clinton, dismissed comparisons between his campaign and Sanders' bid. Aside from their shared home state and plain-spoken styles, there's not much there, he said. His campaign was about pushing his party to the left, on the war in Iraq as well as healthcare and economic issues. "I was really running against the Democratic Party and Bernie is not -- the Democratic Party has become much more populist."
The Sanders campaign says it will step up its effort to make its case to African American and Latino voters. Sanders spoke at a conference of Latino officials in Las Vegas this month. He's due to address the Southern Christian Leadership Conference in late July, where Sanders will probably note his work in the civil rights movement. Black voters just haven't heard his message yet, he said.
"Given the disparity that we're seeing in income and wealth in this country, it applies even more to the African American community and to the Hispanic community. And what we are going to do is make a major outreach effort to those communities, let people know my background, let people know my record, and I think we're going to do just fine in those communities."
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