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Coach Inc. tries to draw the line on discounting (its stock)

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In a Wal-Mart-type economy, many investors now view Coach Inc.’s shares as a luxury they can’t afford. So the company has opted to be its own best big spender.

The maker and retailer of high-end leather goods, which shelled out $1 billion buying back stock over the last nine months, today said its board authorized another $1-billion buyback program.

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At this rate, Coach is spending well more than its annual net income to take shares off the market. The New York company earned $783 million in the fiscal year ended June 28 on sales of $3.2 billion.

Coach was one of Wall Street’s brightest stars from 2001 through mid-2007, but its stock has been hammered recently as investors have grown more worried about the outlook for consumer spending. The shares are down 27% since May 1, compared with a 10% drop for the Standard & Poor’s 500 index.

The stock fell $1.93, or 6.8%, to $26.40 today before the buyback announcement, then edged up to $27 after hours.

Buybacks can help cushion a company’s share price in falling markets by providing a source of demand. But whether they’re a good long-term use of corporate dollars depends in part on whether the company is sacrificing spending on other things -- say, research and development, or expansion plans -- to support the stock.

Coach CEO Lew Frankfort today said the new buyback program was a way to increase value to shareholders (the usual line) and to offset new shares the company may issue for employee compensation plans. In a statement, he said the company’s ‘strong financial condition’ and ‘excellent long-term outlook’ gave Coach the wherewithal to spend billions on the stock.

But the near-term outlook is foggier. Coach’s net operating income was up 20% in the quarter ended June 28, but Frankfort told analysts on a conference call last month that ‘the consumer remains reluctant to purchase.’ He said fiscal 2009 would be an ‘investment year’ for the company, marked by aggressive expansion in China.

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By one measure, Coach’s shares look like they’re in the bargain bin: With the stock down 50% from its 2007 peak, its price-to-earnings ratio is about 11 based on analysts’ average per-share earnings estimate for the current fiscal year.

At the other end of the retail spectrum, the rally in shares of Wal-Mart Stores Inc. this year has pushed that stock’s P/E ratio to nearly 17.

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