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Signs of weakness in collector car auction market

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A sale of Impressionist paintings at Sotheby’s or Christie’s is typically preceded by a round of white-glove collectors’ previews, and occasionally accompanied by a glass of white wine.

A Barrett-Jackson auction of collector automobiles strikes a slightly different tone. Its most recent sale, at the Mandalay Bay hotel on the Las Vegas Strip last weekend, was ushered in with a performance by Robosaurus, which ate a car. A beach party followed. During the three-day auction, Robosaurus came back seven more times to breathe fire and eat more cars.

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Considering the state of the stock market (Dow down another 514 points today), bidders at the sale must have been eating fairy dust.

All told, they dropped $29,216,290, including a 10% buyer’s commission, on the sale’s 533 lots. That averages out to about $54,814 per car, all of which were sold without a reserve price. The company’s previous sale in April in Palm Beach, Fla., hammered down $23 million on 510 cars, which works out to a mere $46,100 per lot.

Show organizers touted the results as evidence of a recession-proof industry niche. ‘Economic uncertainty was nowhere to be found,’ a Barrett-Jackson news release states. But looked at it another way, perhaps the sale wasn’t that strong.

Barrett-Jackson’s biggest sale is in January in Scottsdale, Ariz. This year, auctioneers sold 1,163 cars for a total of $88 million, an average of about $75,600 per car. And that result paled in comparison to January 2006’s results, when bidders paid $111 million for 1,271 vehicles — an average of $87,332. Then there was 2005, when the average price paid for the 1,084 cars sold in Scottsdale was $92,324.

Suddenly, last weekend’s results look a little less Robospectacular: a 42% decline in average car price from the 2005 high.

Of course, average pricing can be a bit misleading, since hugely expensive lots can skew the data. In 2006, for example, one car, a 1966 Shelby Cobra Super Snake, sold for $5.5 million.

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Then again, the willingness of buyers to drop major coin on a single car is also an indicator of how healthy the market for a collectible is today. That’s as true with baseball cards and fine wines as it is with vintage automobiles. And last weekend, only one record was set, with $313,500 paid for a 1949 MG TC that was Carroll Shelby’s first race car.

That also was the highest price on a lot. Only one other car reached $300K, a 2006 Ford Mustang GT customized by Funkmaster Flex, which was one of seven charity cars with no buyer’s commission.

Six cars came in above $200,000. Auction organizers could easily point out that there may have been no cars on the block of high six-figure or even seven-figure quality, hence the lower prices. But the lack of high-quality cars up for consignment could be a sign of collector unease in the face of the current market challenges.

And since this was a no-reserve auction, cars sold even if bidding was weak. Twenty cars brought less than $10,000.

The weekend’s cheapest car? A 1979 Lincoln Continental in ice blue with only 25,000 miles. It sold for $5,170. Now that’s a deal!

—Ken Bensinger

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