Opinion: Odds long but improving for Thompson, Paul in Nevada


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LAS VEGAS -- Ron Paul and Fred Thompson have seen strong gains in a recent Zogby poll here, but they still have a long way to go. And the poll has some bad news for Rudy Giuliani -- an erosion of support from 37% to 28% since the last Zogby poll here in April, though he still leads Mitt Romney by 8 percentage points.

Thompson’s numbers climbed from 7% to 13%, and Paul saw a gain from 1% to 7%. Interestingly, Paul has a bit of a gender gap here -- 12% support among Republican men and 2% among Republican women.

For the Democrats -- who will debate Thursday night at the University of Nevada-Las Vegas -- the poll found little has changed, which is interesting because the Democrats have been spending more time campaigning here than the Republicans.


Hillary Clinton moved up two percentage points to 37% from April; Barack Obama moved down two percentage points to 19%. John Edwards was unchanged at 15%. Bill Richardson, the New Mexico governor, isn’t getting much neighborly affection -- he moved up 1 percentage point to 6%.

The polls found the undecideds at 16% for Republicans and 17% for Democrats, which is high -- but Nevadans apparently are more sure of themselves than folks in New Hampshire.

-- Scott Martelle