Film Profit Report

This report is based on projections of total U.S. box-office gross from a consensus of industry sources and studio financial models. The U.S. and Canadian returns (about 55% of gross) represent only 20% of a film’s final revenue, which includes overseas theatrical, video and TV income. The industry marketing average of $30 million per film is factored into these profit equations, as is the relative strength of specific film genres in foreign markets. Results for the weekend of June 1-3:

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Highlights:

* “Moulin Rouge” should go into the black for 20th Century Fox, helped by overseas grosses. MGM’s “What’s the Worst That Could Happen?” could eventually break even somewhere down the road if it holds up in the coming weeks.

* Because of the unique arrangement between Sony Pictures and Revolution Studios, “The Animal” looks to be a substantial profit-making film.

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$$ Mega-Moneymakers ($50 million or more in profit)

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Projected Box- Estimated U.S. box-office* office cost, in receipts,* Movie title Studio rank millions in millions Shrek DreamWorks 2 $60 $250 Pearl Harbor Disney 1 140 230 The Mummy Returns Universal 6 98 200 Spy Kids Dimension 12 35 108 The Animal Sony 3 22 75

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$ Moneymakers ($10 million or more in profit)

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Box- Estimated office cost, in Movie title Studio rank millions Along Came a Spider Paramount 11 $28 Bridget Jones’s Diary Miramax/Universal 8 26 A Knight’s Tale Sony 7 41 Memento Newmarket 10 5

Projected U.S. box-office* receipts,* Movie title in millions Along Came a Spider $75 Bridget Jones’s Diary 70 A Knight’s Tale 55 Memento 20

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? Toss-ups ($5 million or more in profit/loss)

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Projected Box- Estimated U.S. box-office* office cost, in receipts,* Movie title Studio rank millions in millions Moulin Rouge Fox 4 $50 $52 The Worst That Could Happen MGM 5 45 44

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Losers (less than $5 million)

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Projected Box- Estimated U.S. box-office* office cost, in receipts,* Movie title Studio rank millions in millions Angel Eyes Warner Bros. 9 $38 $25

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Notes: Cost estimates are for production only. Only half of box-office receipts come back to the studio.

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