In yet another attempt to reboot his presidential campaign by demonstrating that he’s really a policy guy, Donald Trump on Monday unveiled a sheaf of proposals aimed at spurring economic growth.
Almost all of these will be familiar to anyone who has followed Republican economic policy over the decades. They include a moratorium on financial regulations, cutting corporate taxes, and slashing the top rate on personal income taxes.
An important feature of Trump’s tax plan was highlighted by an earlier analysis by the Tax Policy Center, a joint venture of the Urban Institute and Brookings Institution: It delivers enormous benefits to members of the top 1%, like him. They get more than one-third of all the tax cuts, notching an average annual reduction of $275,257 in the first year and $407,375 by 2025, compared with current tax law; the top 20% of all earners would get two-thirds of all the benefits. The plan also would increase the federal deficit by about $11 trillion, the Tax Policy Center found.
We’re especially interested in one element of Trump’s plan: repealing the estate tax — or as it’s been rebranded in Republican orthodoxy, the “death tax.” This isn’t the largest piece of the pie, as it would amount to an average $25 billion a year or so.
But to us it’s the most intriguing because it’s such a narrowly focused cut, yet one dressed up as a boon for ordinary Americans—Trump himself called it a burden on the “American worker.” Yet as we observed in 2009, the estate tax affects only a few thousand people at most, all of them multimillionaires with an average nest egg of more than $30 million. We can think of no better way to lay out the stupidity of the argument against the “death tax” than to republish the column we wrote about it on April 13, 2009.
A few things have changed since that column appeared. Sen. Jon Kyl (R-Ariz.) retired in 2013 and Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D-Ark.) lost a reelection bid in 2010, though the constituencies prompting their opposition to the tax — the army of well-heeled retirees in Kyl’s state and the residency of Walton family members (heirs to the Wal-Mart fortune) in Lincoln’s — still exist.
The temporary reduction of the estate tax to zero in 2010 has passed, leaving only a “Law & Order” episode about rich families plotting to kill off their elders during the moratorium to remember it by. The tax is currently 40% of estates larger than an exemption of $5.45 million for individuals and $10.9 million for couples.
Other than that, all the arguments pro and con remain the same. My 2009 column follows:
‘Death tax’ con refuses to die
[April 13, 2009]
Everybody’s familiar with Ben Franklin’s old saw about nothing being certain but death and taxes. But how about the “death tax”?
That’s the loaded term employed by opponents of the estate tax, which has been part of the federal tax code for more than 90 years and the subject of furious repeal campaigns for almost that long.
Thanks to lobbyists and legislators looking out for the welfare of the richest Americans, the tax currently hits fewer than 3 of every 1,000 estates every year and bristles with exemptions and deferments for the rest. Its contribution to the federal treasury is about 1% of all revenue.
Yet it consumes enormous mind share in Washington. This month, a new tax-cut proposal from Sens. Jon Kyl (R-Ariz.) and Blanche Lincoln (D-Ark.) won Senate approval. The resolution would raise the exemption on taxable estates to $10 million from the current $7 million (after the death of both spouses). It also would cut the rate charged on the nonexempt portion to 35% from the current 45%.
The tax is currently set to fall to zero for 2010 and return with a $1-million exemption and a 55% rate in 2011; President Obama proposes merely making today’s exemption and rates permanent.
Arguments against the estate tax rank as the most special of special pleading, considering that more than 99.7% of all estates already are exempt. Perhaps 3,000 Americans who died in 2007 left estates valued from $7 million to $10 million; Lincoln and Kyl would have extended the exemption to them. As for those left to carry the burden, the number of taxpayers who died in 2007 leaving estates worth more than $10 million was 1,700. Their average estate was $31.6 million. Lincoln, Kyl and their colleagues actually wasted time on the Senate floor to give people like this a new tax break.
But then Kyl represents a state with a lot of wealthy retired sinus patients and Lincoln a state brimming with billionaires coincidentally bearing the same last name as the founder of Wal-Mart.
Even financial planners for the affluent acknowledge that many taxpayers are excessively concerned about the estate tax.
“A lot of people afraid they are going to be hit by it are completely out of the system” because of the exemption, says Mary Ann Mancini, head of the private client group at law firm Bryan Cave in Washington. “It resonates with people more on an emotional basis than a logical one.”
No kidding. On the website of the Policy and Taxation Group, an anti-estate tax outfit founded by an Orange County wealth manager, you can find comments from taxpayers like this: “If I died today, I’d pay about $200,000 in death tax.”
I don’t want to get too metaphysical here, but if I could be in a position to pay the estate tax even after the undertaker performed his magic on my carcass, I would be happy to write the check.
You’d expect fiscal conservatives in both parties to embrace the estate tax. After all, it generates revenue today to avoid sticking future generations with our expenses, which is a conservative mantra.
The tax also upholds the cherished national principle of self-reliance. As the writers of the 2002 book “Wealth and Our Commonwealth” put it: “There is something fundamentally American about the notion that what people do with their lives is more important than the station of birth. . . . We should strengthen the tax, not eliminate it.” Lest anyone think the book was the product of wild-eyed leftist socialist types, it’s my duty to point out that the lead author is a Seattle attorney named William H. Gates Sr., whose son is the founder of Microsoft.
The repeal lobby has carried water for years for the biggest payers of the estate tax, wealthy families including the Gallo wine and Mars candy clans. But their strategy is to misrepresent the estate tax as something more broadly based.
One clue is the very term “death tax.” According to “Perfectly Legal,” David Cay Johnston’s 2003 book about the tax code, it was seized on in the 1990s by Republican consultant Frank Luntz, a master of the black art of political newspeak, to make working-class Americans think it might apply to them.
Among the opponents’ key talking points is that the estate tax is unfair double taxation, because the federal government has already taken a cut out of the assets being left to heirs.
But the real heart of the attack on the estate tax is the claim that it burdens small family businesses and farms with an unaffordable bill when the founders pass on. A Wall Street Journal editorial retoasted this chestnut last week, stating that repeal would prevent “the all-too-common and tragic fire sale of businesses and farms when a family member dies.”
The truth is that real-life examples are none too common. The estate experts I talked to couldn’t point to a single one.
Among other things, family farms can be valued for estate tax purposes as working farms, not as real estate, which cuts their tax liability sharply. The tax on most farms and businesses, moreover, can be paid over as much as 15 years.
And there are tools to defray any estate tax, such as taking out life insurance policies on the founders. It’s not unusual to hear business owners howl about the cost of this insurance, but that’s a far cry from forcing them to sell the farm to pay the tax man.
“Often after the passing of a founder, there are a number of reasons to sell a business,” Craig Janes, national director of estate, gift and trust services at consulting firm Deloitte, told me. “But taxes are generally not the most important consideration.” Among the other factors, experts say, is the heirs’ lack of interest or aptitude in running the enterprise.
As for parents’ supposed divine right to take care of their children, financial planners say the prospect of turning their heirs into slobs and wastrels by leaving them too much money is a major concern of their rich clients. To hear these advisors talk, you’d think that every time Paris Hilton resurfaces in the tabloids, thousands of family wills get rewritten to pare down the kids’ trust funds and bulk up the bequests to save the whales and feed the poor.
So consider this a plea for Congress to drop the subject of the estate tax, already. After all, the one indisputable fact about it is that it’s the one tax whose payers are beyond feeling the pain.
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9:44 a.m.: This post has been updated with a real-time description of Trump’s Detroit talk.