Week 10 of the 2021 NFL season begins Thursday with the Baltimore Ravens visiting the Miami Dolphins in Miami Gardens, Fla. The Times’ NFL writer, Sam Farmer, examines this week’s matchups.
Farmer’s record last week: 8-6 (.571); season 85-51 (.625). Using point spreads with the scores Farmer predicted, the record against the spread last week would have been 8-6 (.571); season 66-68-2 (.493).
Teams on bye: Bears, Bengals, Texans, Giants.
Times Pacific. Lines according to FanDuel (O/U = over/under):
2
Ravens (6-2) at Dolphins (2-7)
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Thursday, 5:20 p.m.
TV: Channel 11, NFL Network, Amazon.
Line: Ravens by 7 1/2. O/U: 46 1/2.
The Ravens have gotten back to running effectively, and it’s not just Lamar Jackson. The Dolphins aren’t particularly strong at stopping the run, so Baltimore could wind up playing keep-away.
Prediction: Ravens 30, Dolphins 13
3
Jaguars (2-7) at Colts (4-5)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: None. DirecTV: 705.
Line: Colts by 10 1/2. O/U: 47 1/2.
The Jaguars have to be feeling good coming off that upset of Buffalo, but Indianapolis is a better team and at home. Carson Wentz has the Indianapolis passing game on a roll.
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Prediction: Colts 31, Jaguars 20
4
Browns (5-4) at Patriots (5-4)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: Channel 2. DirecTV: 706.
Line: Patriots by 1 1/2. O/U: 45.
The Patriots have been playing well lately and have done a good job of slowing the run — essential against Cleveland. Here’s betting Bill Belichick dials up the right scheme to put the brakes on the Browns.
Prediction: Patriots 24, Browns 21
5
Bills (5-3) at Jets (2-6)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
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TV: None. DirecTV: 707.
Line: Bills by 12 1/2. O/U: 47 1/2.
The Bills were humiliated by Sunday’s 9-6 loss to Jacksonville. Watch for a big bounce-back game by Josh Allen against a vulnerable Jets defense. Mike White has had his moments for the Jets.
Prediction: Bills 34, Jets 14
6
Saints (5-3) at Titans (7-2)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: None. DirecTV: 708.
Line: Titans by 3. O/U: 44 1/2.
As the Rams discovered, the Titans are no joke — with or without Derrick Henry. Jeffrey Simmons can cause a lot of problems in the middle of that defensive front. QB inconsistency hurts the Saints.
Prediction: Titans 24, Saints 20
7
Falcons (4-4) at Cowboys (6-2)
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Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: None. DirecTV: 709.
Line: Cowboys by 9. O/U: 54 1/2.
The Cowboys should look more like themselves after humbling loss to Denver last week. Atlanta is susceptible to the pass, although rookie A.J. Terrell is playing well. Matt Ryan keeps Falcons in it.
Prediction: Cowboys 28, Falcons 24
8
Lions (0-8) at Steelers (5-3)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: None. DirecTV: 710.
Line: Steelers by 8 1/2. O/U: 42 1/2.
Steelers have won four in a row; the Lions are still looking for their first win. Detroit has given some good teams problems, but they’ve been horrible at times too. Rest serves them well here … to a degree.
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Prediction: Steelers 27, Lions 24
9
Buccaneers (6-2) at Washington Football Team (2-6)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: None. DirecTV: 711.
Line: Buccaneers by 9 1/2. O/U: 51 1/2.
This playoff matchup from 10 months ago is looking lopsided now. At least Washington has gotten healthier with a week off, but its defense is a big disappointment. Tom Brady gets on track.
Prediction: Buccaneers 31, Washington 20
10
Panthers (4-5) at Cardinals (8-1)
Sunday, 1:05 p.m.
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TV: None. DirecTV: 712.
Line: Cardinals by 10 1/2. O/U: 44 1/2.
Christian McCaffrey has returned, and knocked off some rust last week. The Panthers are desperate at quarterback, though, and that won’t serve them well against a really tough Arizona team.
Prediction: Cardinals 24, Panthers 17
11
Vikings (3-5) at Chargers (5-3)
Sunday, 1:05 p.m.
TV: Channel 11. DirecTV: 713.
Line: Chargers by 3. O/U: 53.
Justin Herbert’s passing game is back, and Chargers are back home. Vikings have a pretty good pass defense. The Chargers’ big challenge will be stopping Dalvin Cook, and they aren’t great vs. run.
Prediction: Vikings 28, Chargers 27
12
Eagles (3-6) at Broncos (5-4)
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Sunday, 1:25 p.m.
TV: None. DirecTV: 714.
Line: Broncos by 2 1/2 . O/U: 45.
Broncos played beautifully at Dallas, and especially Denver’s secondary. That figures to give Jalen Hurts problems. Philadelphia might be able to move the ball on the ground but it won’t be enough.
Prediction: Broncos 24, Eagles 20
13
Seahawks (3-5) at Packers (7-2)
Sunday, 1:25 p.m.
TV: Channel 2. DirecTV: 715.
Line: Packers by 3 1/2. O/U: 49 1/2.
This was a marquee game on paper, and still should be if Russell Wilson comes back from his finger injury in prime form. Still, that’s a lot to ask. Seahawks make it close but Green Bay holds on.
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Prediction: Packers 28, Seahawks 24
Chiefs (5-4) at Raiders (5-3)
Sunday, 5:20 p.m.
TV: Channel 4.
Line: Chiefs by 21/2. O/U: 511/2.
The Chiefs reshuffled their offensive line this season and aren’t the same dominating team we’ve seen the last couple of years, but the Raiders are dealing with one distraction after another.
Prediction: Chiefs 30, Raiders 28
14
Rams (7-2) at 49ers (3-5)
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Monday, 5:15 p.m.
TV: ESPN.
Line: Rams by 4. O/U: 49.
49ers have done a good job establishing the run against the Rams, so that’s something to watch. But Sean McVay will have his team ready to rebound from Sunday’s ultra-flat outing against Tennessee.
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Honored by the Pro Football Hall of Fame in recognition of his “long and distinguished reporting in the field of pro football,” Sam Farmer has covered the NFL for 25 seasons. A graduate of Occidental College, he’s a two-time winner of California Sportswriter of the Year and first place for beat writing by Associated Press Sports Editors.