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Commentary: Chip Kelly’s ceiling didn’t change after beating USC, but it’s enough for UCLA right now

UCLA coach Chip Kelly watches from the sideline.
UCLA coach Chip Kelly watches from the sideline during the first half of a 38-20 win over rival USC at the Coliseum on Saturday.
(Wally Skalij / Los Angeles Times)
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Put away the pitchforks, UCLA fans.

Would school administration have made a move on Chip Kelly if his Bruins had backed up their lifeless performance against Arizona State by rolling over for USC in the Coliseum? Only UCLA president Gene Block, athletic director Martin Jarmond and a handful of others know the answer — which is now irrelevant.

UCLA outclassed the Trojans on Saturday, further exposing the alarming state of Lincoln Riley’s program and making it clear that despite some obvious warts in Westwood, only one team in town is potentially built for Year 1 in the mettle-testing Big Ten.

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I feel for the die-hard Bruin backers after Saturday. They want the program to take the next step — to win a conference championship for the first time since 1998 — and have plenty of evidence to suggest that won’t be happening under Kelly. Those UCLA fans will be able to separate the fun of whipping a flawed USC team from the reality that the Bruins probably have a 9-3 ceiling as they’re currently constructed.

Lincoln Riley was supposed to transform USC back into a college football powerhouse. Instead, the Trojans are mired in mediocrity and it’s his fault.

Nov. 18, 2023

But, ultimately, even the most ardent supporters won’t factor into this decision. What do Block and Jarmond want UCLA football to be?

If they are content as a perennial bowl program that stays within the rules and graduates players at a high rate, Kelly gave them everything they needed Saturday to maintain the status quo.

If they secretly (and shockingly) wish to mix it up with the brands at the top of professional college football in the coming years, is this really the moment for UCLA to officially enter the arms race?

It was just last March that Block and Jarmond approved a two-year extension for Kelly through 2027. Jarmond cited the team’s improved record in each of its previous five seasons under Kelly, and, while the Bruins won’t improve on last year’s 9-4 mark, few would have expected them to do so without departed quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson.

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UCLA showed it can play great defense for the first time under Kelly. Next year, first-year defensive coordinator D’Anton Lynn will be asked to produce a competent unit without soon-to-be All-American defensive end Laiatu Latu and twin edge playmakers Gabriel and Grayson Murphy.

Kelly will have his work cut out for him improving the offense, but he’s got a career’s worth of evidence that he’s up to the challenge. Plus, remember: He doesn’t have to convince fans, only administrators.

UCLA coach Chip Kelly watches pregame warmups before the Bruins' win over USC on Saturday.
(Gina Ferazzi / Los Angeles Times)

Block is retiring at the end of this academic year. The university has to find his replacement, who will take over the transition to the Big Ten, which becomes official in August. It would be a surprise for him or the regents to toss hiring a new coach into those winds of change.

Despite the long-term financial benefits of the Big Ten move, the Bruins won’t be awash with cash for a while. Paying a buyout of any kind to move on from Kelly would be viewed as fiscally irresponsible, particularly following an extension within the calendar year.

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I understand why many fans want Kelly gone and won’t be deterred by Saturday’s emphatic victory. He does not make any effort to connect with his base and build excitement for the program, and he does not attempt to recruit the top high-school prospects in the country. The one five-star he lured to Westwood, freshman quarterback Dante Moore, could end up in the transfer portal this offseason.

Still, none of that is going to trigger a rash decision by this UCLA administration.

Our UCLA beat reporter Ben Bolch tweeted Saturday night that “UCLA has never fired a football coach during a season in which the Bruins beat USC. Some retired, died tragically or moved on to other jobs after a win over the Trojans, but none were fired.”

Don’t expect Kelly to be the first.

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12-team playoff fun ahead

Missouri quarterback Brady Cook, left, and running back Cody Schrader celebrate after beating Florida on Saturday night.
(Jeff Roberson / Associated Press)

A year from now, when we have our first 12-team College Football Playoff, Saturday would have been a much more entertaining slate of games.

No. 9 Missouri’s thrilling 33-31 win over Florida and No. 10 Louisville’s equally enthralling 38-31 win over Miami would have impacted the national championship chase and elevated their programs’ trajectories.

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Missouri and Louisville are exactly the type of programs that will benefit from the expanded playoff. The Tigers and Cardinals would be playing down the stretch to potentially host first-round games.

While the new playoff will remove the total devastation from teams’ first losses — a unique feature of college football’s regular season — many more schools will have something to play for in late November. Interest in the sport will only grow because of it.

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Tallahassee tears

Florida State quarterback Jordan Travis is carted off after sustaining an injury Saturday against North Alabama.
(Colin Hackley / Associated Press)

In the first quarter of a 58-13 drubbing of Football Championship Subdivision school North Alabama, Florida State quarterback Jordan Travis suffered a severe lower-leg injury.

The Seminoles, 11-0 and ranked No. 4 in the CFP, appeared to be barreling toward a playoff berth.

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Florida State plays at Florida and against Louisville in the Atlantic Coast Conference championship game. If it wins those games with backup Tate Rodemaker, one could argue that it will have proven it is still playoff worthy.

But the injury will give the CFP committee something to think about when comparing the Seminoles to any one-loss power conference champions who emerge in the discussion.

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