CAMPAIGN ’88 : Bush Maintains Lead
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Polls, polls and more polls.
Bush maintained a comfortable lead in two national opinion surveys reported Saturday.
The vice president led by 9 points, 52% to 43%, in a CBS News-New York Times poll conducted Wednesday through Friday, recouping slightly from his 7-point lead in a CBS poll finished the day before. He had led by 12 points in a CBS survey early in the week.
The other poll, conducted Wednesday through Friday by Louis Harris & Associates, put Bush ahead by 6 points, 51% to 45%.
There were 1,252 likely voters in the Harris poll, 1,452 in the CBS-Times survey. Both had margins of sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.
Here are some survey results reported from individual states, with the state’s electoral votes shown next to the name:
--Florida (21): Bush 58%, Dukakis 37% in a poll commissioned by three Florida newspapers. The poll was conducted early last week with a sample of 1,000, and the margin of error was 3 points.
--Iowa (8): Dukakis 50%, Bush 42% in the Des Moines Register’s Iowa Poll, taken last week. The poll was conducted with a sample of 1,356; margin of error 3 points.
--Connecticut (8): Bush 45%, Dukakis 37% in a University of Connecticut poll of 512 likely voters conducted Tuesday through Thursday (error margin 5 points).
--Oregon (7): Dukakis 47%, Bush 46% in a poll by the Portland Oregonian of 400 likely voters from Oct. 28 to Nov. 1 (error margin 5 points).
--Missouri (11): Bush 47%, Dukakis 39% in a poll by KMOX radio and the St. Louis Post-Dispatch of 550 likely voters (margin of error 5 points).
--Rhode Island (4): Dukakis 48%, Bush 42% in a WPRI-TV poll of 411 likely voters conducted Wednesday and Thursday (margin of error 5 points).
--Minnesota (10): Bush 48%, Dukakis 45% in a poll of 646 likely voters by the St. Paul Pioneer Press Dispatch conducted Monday through Thursday (margin of error 4 points).
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