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Company Town Film Profit Report

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This report is based on projections of total U.S. box-office gross from a consensus of industry sources and studio financial models. The U.S. and Canadian returns (about 55% of gross) represent only 20% of a film’s final revenue, which includes overseas theatrical, video and TV income. The industry marketing average of $30 million per film is factored into these profit equations, as is the relative strength of specific film genres in foreign markets. Results for the weekend of March 9-11:

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Highlights:

* “15 Minutes” looks to fall somewhat short of recoupment, though it could perform better overseas based on Robert DeNiro’s marquee value.

* “Get Over It” will come close to breaking even.

$$ Mega-Moneymakers ($50 million or more in profit)

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Projected Box- Estimated U.S. box-office* office cost, in receipts,* Movie title Studio rank millions in millions Cast Away Fox/DreamWorks 12 $90 $230 Hannibal MGM/Universal 4 80 170 Crouching Tiger Sony Classics 6 15 110 Traffic USA 8 50 110

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$ Moneymakers ($10 million or more in profit)

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Projected Box- Estimated U.S. box-office* office cost, in receipts,* Movie title Studio rank millions in millions The Mexican DreamWorks 1 $38 $65 Down to Earth Paramont 5 30 65 Chocolat Miramax 9 25 62 O Brother Disney 11 26 38 Recess: School’s Out Disney 10 10 35 See Spot Run Warner Bros. 3 16 28

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? Toss-ups ($5 million or more in profit/loss)

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Projected Box- Estimated U.S. box-office* office cost, in receipts,* Movie title Studio rank millions in millions Get Over It Miramax 7 $10 $10

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Losers (more than $5 million in loss)

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Projected Box- Estimated U.S. box-office* office cost, in receipts,* Movie title Studio rank millions in millions 15 Minutes New Line 2 $42 $32

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Notes: Cost estimates are for production only. Only half of box-office receipts come back to the studio.

If you have information or comments about the chart, call (213) 237-2001 or send e-mail to company.town@latimes.com. Send faxes to (213) 237-7837.

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