Company Town Film Report

This report is based on projections of total U.S. box-office gross from a consensus of industry sources and studio financial models. The U.S. and Canadian returns (about 55% of gross) represent only 20% of a film’s final revenue, which includes overseas theatrical, video and TV income. The industry marketing average of $30 million per film is factored into these profit equations, as is the relative strength of specific film genres in foreign markets. Results for the weekend of Oct. 12-14:

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Highlights:

* MGM may have a hard time recouping its investment in “Bandits” even though it put up just 60% of the budget in return for U.S. and some foreign rights.

* “Corky Romano” should be a solid single for Disney.

* “Iron Monkey” represents a low-risk, moderate-return release for Miramax.

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$$ Mega-Moneymakers ($50 million or more in profit)

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Projected Box- Estimated U.S. box-office* office cost, in receipts,* Movie title Studio rank millions in millions The Others Dimension 12 $17 $96

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$ Moneymakers ($10 million or more in profit)

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Box- Estimated office cost, in Movie title Studio rank millions Training Day Warner Bros. 1 $45 Don’t Say a Word Fox/New Regency 5 50 Serendipity Miramax 4 28 Zoolander Paramount/Village Roadshow 7 28 Hardball Paramount 11 21 Corky Romano Disney 3 11 Iron Monkey Miramax 6 2

Projected U.S. box-office* receipts,* Movie title in millions Training Day $75 Don’t Say a Word 60 Serendipity 50 Zoolander 48 Hardball 38 Corky Romano 28 Iron Monkey 18

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? Tossups ($5 million or more in profit/loss)

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Projected Box- Estimated U.S. box-office* office cost, in receipts,* Movie title Studio rank millions in millions Max Keeble’s Big Move Disney 9 $12 $20 Joy Ride Fox/Regency 8 23 25

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Losers (less than $5 million)

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Box- Estimated office cost, in Movie title Studio rank millions Bandits MGM/Hyde Park 2 $80 Hearts in Atlantis Warner Bros./Castle Rock 10 31

Projected U.S. box-office* receipts,* Movie title in millions Bandits $40 Hearts in Atlantis 25

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*Notes: Cost estimates are for production only. Only half of box-office receipts come back to the studio.

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