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Europe’s economic rebound slows as coronavirus cases rise

A cargo vessel cruises on the river Main in Frankfurt, Germany
A cargo vessel cruises on the river Main with the buildings of the banking district in Frankfurt, Germany, in the background.
(Michael Probst / Associated Press)
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The European economy’s rebound from the coronavirus recession slowed in August as an uptick in new COVID-19 cases appeared to hobble the reopening of some businesses and travel after their near-complete shutdown in the spring.

An indicator of business activity by research firm IHS Markit fell back to a level that suggests Europe’s economy is barely growing after a relatively strong burst in July, when many countries lifted the restrictions imposed in the spring to contain the pandemic. Those lockdowns combined to push the European economy into a record slump.

The purchasing managers’ index, which is based on a survey of 5,000 companies across the Eurozone, the group of 19 nations that use the euro currency, dropped to 51.6 points in August from 54.9 in July. The 50-mark separates economic contraction from growth.

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The drop in economic momentum coincides with an increase in coronavirus cases in some European countries that is forcing governments to put limits on travel again and to reimpose new lockdown restrictions on some communities. Airlines have said the trend has hurt a recovery in travel in Europe as the news saps consumer confidence.

Companies are cutting jobs for a sixth consecutive month, though not by as much as in April, with layoffs biggest in the manufacturing sector.

Experts say the outlook for the economy is closely tied to the number of reported coronavirus cases and whether a second wave of outbreaks will keep schools from reopening and restrict shops, restaurants and other businesses from operating.

“The path taken will likely depend in large part on how successfully COVID-19 can be suppressed and whether companies and their customers alike can gain the confidence necessary to support growth,” IHS Markit economics director Andrew Harker said.

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