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Theater critic Charles McNulty’s Tonys predictions

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3:40 P.M.

Theater critic Charles McNulty’s Tonys predictions

'The Color Purple' (Matthew Murphy)
‘The Color Purple’ (Matthew Murphy)

It’s hard to see “Hamilton” not winning for best musical, book, original score, lead actor in a musical, featured actor and featured actress in a musical, direction and orchestration. That’s eight straight off the bat, with lead actor in a musical the only one of these contests with even a smidgen of uncertainty.

Lin-Manuel Miranda, the creator of “Hamilton,” is competing in this category against his thrilling costar Leslie Odom Jr., leaving the outside possibility of a split between them. If this happens, dark horse Danny Burstein, the affecting Tevye of Bartlett Sher’s revival of “Fiddler on the Roof,” could find himself hoisting a statuette — unlikely but something no Broadway connoisseur would mind. How about a three-way tie?

Here’s an opinionated look at how some of the other key races might play out.

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